Shares of Reece Ltd (ASX: REH) collapsed as much as 22% on Monday — the sharpest single-day drop since 1978 — after the Australian plumbing supplies company reported a sharp fall in full-year profit and flagged prolonged weakness in the US housing market.
Earnings Miss and Market Reaction
Net profit: Fell 24% YoY to A$316.9m (US$205m) for the year ending June 30, missing analyst expectations.
Revenue mix: The US accounted for 57% of total sales, making the group heavily exposed to America’s housing cycle.
Market response: Shares plunged to their lowest in years, as investors digested the cautious guidance and deteriorating US demand outlook.
US Housing Overhang
Reece anticipates the US property market will remain constrained for the next 12–18 months, citing affordability challenges and tighter financing conditions.
Its warning echoes recent profit downgrades across housing-related firms:
James Hardie Industries: Saw its worst trading day in five decades last week after warning of slowing property demand.
Reliance Worldwide Corp: Shares tumbled after the plumbing group flagged a sluggish sales outlook.
This series of downgrades underscores how higher mortgage rates and affordability pressures are reshaping the US housing sector and spilling into building materials and supply chains.
Analyst Commentary
Citigroup’s Samuel Seow described Reece’s results as “reasonable in a tough environment,” but stressed that US macro headwinds remain a key concern.
Investment Takeaways
Earnings risk: With over half of revenues tied to the US, Reece’s earnings remain highly sensitive to US housing and construction trends.
Valuation pressure: A record single-day fall suggests investors are rapidly repricing growth expectations.
Sector readthrough: The slump reinforces a negative near-term view on Australian building suppliers with heavy US exposure.
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