Q3 Guidance Highlights
Revenue: US$174bn – US$179.5bn (+10% to +13% YoY), comfortably above consensus (US$173.1bn).
Operating Income: US$15.5bn – US$20.5bn, more cautious vs Street expectations (US$19.45bn).
While top-line growth remains robust, particularly in e-commerce and AWS, margin pressures from heavy AI-related investments and intensifying cloud competition continue to weigh on sentiment.
Institutional Confidence – Ackman’s Big Bet
Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital acquired 5.8m shares in Q2.
Amazon is now 5th-largest holding, making up 9.3% of his 10-stock portfolio.
Ackman’s concentrated strategy means this signals high conviction in Amazon’s long-term growth story, despite near-term margin volatility.
Investor Lens
Bull Case: Revenue guidance reinforces Amazon’s leadership in e-commerce and cloud. Ackman’s entry provides a “confidence signal” for institutional flows.
Bear Case: Rising AI capex, slower AWS margin expansion, and cloud competition (Microsoft, Google) remain overhangs.
Key Watch: AWS revenue growth trajectory and AI monetization roadmap in Q3 earnings.
Market Snapshot
As of 9:25 pm MYT:
Dow Jones Futures: 45,580 (-0.30%).
US markets open at 9:30 pm Malaysia time — investors can trade with real-time feeds via Rakuten Trade.
Takeaway: Amazon is guiding stronger-than-expected growth, but investors must balance optimism with margin caution. Ackman’s stake provides credibility to the long-term bull case, though short-term volatility remains likely.
Comments
Post a Comment