Skip to main content

Featured Post

Market Daily Report: Bursa Malaysia Ends Nearly Flat As Construction Stocks Attract Buying

 KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 8 (Bernama) -- Bursa Malaysia closed almost flat on Tuesday as buying interest rotated away from index heavyweights towards smaller-cap construction stocks, with sentiment affected by geopolitical uncertainty, said an analyst. At 5 pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) eased 0.39 of a point to 1,714.40 from Monday’s close of 1,714.79. The benchmark index opened 1.65 points lower at 1,713.14 and moved between 1,710.44 and 1,714.50 throughout the trading session. The broader market was almost evenly balanced, with decliners leading gainers 548 to 546, while 598 counters were unchanged, 1,107 were untraded and 25 were suspended. Turnover expanded to 4.13 billion units valued at RM3.14 billion from 3.60 billion units valued at RM2.45 billion on Monday.

Swatch Faces Countdown as Trump Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Watches

Swiss Timepieces, US Tariffs, and a Ticking Clock

US President Trump’s latest protectionist move — a 39% tariff on most Swiss-made products — is shaking the Swiss watch industry to its core. The tariff, effective this Thursday, targets one of Switzerland’s most iconic exports: luxury watches, with Swatch Group in the spotlight.

“We produce everything in Switzerland. When you add a 39% tariff, we cannot absorb that.” — Nick Hayek, Swatch CEO

 Swatch’s Short-Term Playbook

  • Front-loaded US shipments to beat the tariff deadline

  • Inventory buffer: 3–6 months’ worth already in U.S. stores

  • Price hikes: Already raised prices 5% in April; more expected

  • Tapping mobile shoppers: Tourists, cruise ships, and duty-free zones targeted

  • More stock shipping this week to brace for the impact

Market Reaction

  • Swatch & luxury peers’ shares fell ~5% on Monday, before partially recovering

  • The U.S. is the largest market for Swiss watches, accounting for ~17% of exports

  • Swatch derives 18% of sales from the U.S. (2024)

 Structural Limitations

  • Swiss-made label rules: 60% of value must originate from Switzerland — limiting production shifts

  • “It’s inconceivable to abandon or dilute the label,” said the Swiss Watch Industry Federation

Analyst View

  • Short-term cushion, but long-term pressure mounting

  • Mid- to entry-level brands (like Tissot, Longines) will be hit harder than ultra-luxury labels

  • If tariffs stick, price-sensitive consumers may retreat, impacting margins and volumes

“If the 39% tariff remains, it would be devastating for the industry.” — Jean-Philippe Bertschy, Vontobel

 Political Moves

  • Switzerland held an emergency cabinet meeting

  • Government ready to make a “more attractive offer” in ongoing trade talks

  • CEO Hayek urges Swiss President to negotiate directly with Trump

 Takeaway

Swatch and the Swiss watch industry are racing against time. With limited production flexibility, rising costs, and high U.S. exposure, the 39% tariff is a serious threat — unless Switzerland can strike a trade deal quickly. Until then, consumers may pay more, brands may pivot abroad, and uncertainty will continue to tick louder.

“It’s not doomsday — yet. But what counts is what Mr. Trump is saying.” — Hayek

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

特朗普考虑保罗·阿特金斯接任SEC主席,或推动加密货币监管转型

据彭博社报道,美国候任总统唐纳德·特朗普正在考虑由 保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins)接替即将卸任的证券交易委员会(SEC)主席 加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler)。阿特金斯以其支持数字资产的立场闻名,这一任命可能为SEC的加密货币监管政策带来重大转变。 事件概况 阿特金斯的背景 : 阿特金斯曾在乔治·W·布什政府期间担任SEC专员。他一直推动制定明确且平衡的加密货币法规,力求为金融科技创新提供支持。 行业经验 : 离开SEC后,阿特金斯领导了 Patomak Global Partners ,一家为主要金融公司提供咨询的机构。他主张简化监管流程以鼓励创新,同时确保市场完整性。 其他候选人 : 马克·乌耶达 (Mark Uyeda):现任SEC专员 希斯·塔伯特 (Heath Tarbert):前商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)主席 罗伯特·斯特宾斯 (Robert Stebbins):Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP合伙人 特朗普的亲加密货币立场 特朗普承诺终结根斯勒领导下的SEC“反加密货币运动”。根斯勒的任期因FTX崩盘等丑闻后的强力执法而备受争议,被批评为给行业带来了不确定性。 阿特金斯的潜在任命与特朗普的目标一致,即在保障市场完整性的同时,通过更加友好的监管政策推动数字资产的发展。 接下来会发生什么? SEC主席的任命预计将在未来几天内敲定。如果阿特金斯接任,这将表明SEC将采取更注重创新的监管方式,为加密货币行业带来更大的确定性和发展空间。

Capital A 股价下跌,因外汇驱动的第三季度业绩低于预期

Capital A Bhd 在周五早盘交易中股价下跌7%,至1.01令吉,市值降至46亿令吉。这是由于其2024财年第三季度业绩未达到大多数分析师预期,尽管受益于外汇收益提振。 2024财年第三季度亮点: 核心税后及少数股东权益后亏损 (Latmi):  1.434亿令吉,令2024财年前9个月的税后亏损达到1.195亿令吉。 业绩未达  香港联昌投资银行(HLIB)预计的7.549亿令吉的税后净利(Patmi),但与市场普遍预测的4.59亿令吉税后净利一致。 剔除例外项目 (EIs):  共计12亿令吉,主要由于15亿令吉的外汇收益,但被递延税务损失部分抵销。 环比表现: 核心Latmi从上一季度的5,760万令吉恶化至1.434亿令吉,主要受以下因素影响: 季节性收益率疲弱; 成本增加; ADE MRO(维修、保养及翻修)业务因6个新机库的启动成本造成亏损。 未来展望: 预计2024财年第四季度表现将有所改善,得益于: 更高的机队容量; 季节性需求和收益率的改善; 喷气燃料价格下降及美元贬值; 来自新ADE机库的运营贡献。 待决事项: 航空业务出售:  正等待法院批准出售给亚航长途(AirAsia X Bhd, KL:AAX),预计在2025财年第一季度完成。 PN17状态:  出售后仍维持,预计在2025财年上半年完成相关解决方案。 联昌投资银行(HLIB)建议: 维持“买入”评级,目标价为1.68令吉,估值基于航空业务为68亿令吉,非航空业务为21.5亿令吉。 尽管短期面临挑战,Capital A 的长期增长前景依然受到更强的季节性表现和战略举措的支持。

KLCI Slides as Profit-Taking Hits Blue Chips, Ringgit Holds Firm

Malaysia’s benchmark index retreated as  profit-taking in key heavyweights  weighed on sentiment, while overall market activity remained active. Summary FBM KLCI fell 0.83% to 1,684.93 , dragged by losses in banking and selected large-cap names, despite steady trading participation. Market Performance FBM KLCI :  1,684.93 (-0.83%) FBM Mid 70:  -0.00% (flat) FBM Small Cap:  -0.23% FBM ACE:  +0.20% Broad market was mixed , with weakness concentrated in large caps. Market Breadth & Trading Activity Total volume:  3.54 billion shares Total value:  RM4.19 billion Gainers:  456 Losers:  678 Unchanged:  550 Market breadth turned negative , reflecting cautious sentiment. Top Movers – KLCI Gainers Axiata (6888.MY)   +1.54% Petronas Gas (6033.MY)   +1.18% Sunway (5211.MY)   +1.15% Losers Hong Leong Bank (5819.MY)   -3.29% Maybank (1155.MY)   -3.02% CIMB (1023.MY)   -2.47% Banking sector weakness was the main ...