Skip to main content

Featured Post

Market Daily Report: Selective Buying Of Defensive Stocks Lifts Bursa Malaysia Higher At Close

 KUALA LUMPUR, July 29 (Bernama) -- Bursa Malaysia rebounded to close higher on Wednesday on selective buying of defensive stocks after a volatile trading session. IPPFA Sdn Bhd director of investment strategy and country economist Mohd Sedek Jantan said consumer products and services stocks lifted the key index higher, overcoming lingering geopolitical concerns. At 5 pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) rose 3.08 points to 1,715.56 from yesterday’s close of 1,712.48. The benchmark index, which opened 1.91 points higher at 1,714.39, moved between 1,710.79 and 1,720.59 during the day’s trading. In the broader market, gainers outstripped decliners 550 to 476, while 612 counters were unchanged, 1,129 untraded, and 48 suspended. Turnover rose to 2.96 billion units valued at RM2.48 billion from 2.94 billion units valued at RM2.56 billion on Tuesday.

S&P Backs Trump Tariffs, Keeps US Credit Rating at AA+

S&P Global Ratings has given a vote of confidence to President Donald Trump’s tariff strategy, affirming the US’s AA+ long-term credit rating with a stable outlook. The agency said tariff revenues are helping offset the fiscal impact of Trump’s tax and spending cuts, providing some relief to the nation’s balance sheet.

Key Points from S&P

  • Tariff revenues are rising: US customs duties hit a record US$28 billion in July, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent now projects 2025 tariff receipts could exceed 1% of GDP.

  • Fiscal position stable: While government debt is expected to surpass 100% of GDP in the next three years, S&P believes the deficit will average 6% of GDP from 2025–2028, down from 7.5% in 2024.

  • Stable outlook: S&P does not expect US fiscal health to improve dramatically, but it also doesn’t expect persistent deterioration in the near term.

Market Reaction

  • Bond yields: The 30-year Treasury yield edged up to 4.94%, while the 10-year yield rose to 4.34%, showing little immediate market disruption.

  • US dollar: Analysts say the S&P decision could support the greenback, but the real test will come from the Fed minutes and Powell’s Jackson Hole speech later this week.

The Contradiction in Trump’s Strategy

Economists remain divided. Tariffs generate revenue from imports, but Trump is also pushing Americans to “Buy American” and reshore production. If successful, that could reduce imports — and tariff income — over time.

Meanwhile, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates Trump’s tax-and-spending package will add US$3.4 trillion to the deficit over the next decade, raising questions about the long-term fiscal outlook.

Why It Matters for Investors

  • Credit Stability: S&P’s affirmation signals no immediate downgrade risk, a relief for bondholders.

  • Treasury Yields: With 30-year yields hovering near 5%, the debt market remains sensitive to tariff and fiscal headlines.

  • Currency Impact: Dollar stability could get a short-term lift, but Fed policy remains the bigger driver.

  • Equity Watch: Tariffs may support government revenue but still pressure import-heavy sectors and global supply chains.

Bottom Line: S&P’s backing of Trump’s tariffs gives Washington some fiscal breathing room and keeps the US at AA+, but long-term debt concerns remain. For investors, watch the bond market, the dollar, and Powell’s Jackson Hole speech for the next big moves.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

特朗普考虑保罗·阿特金斯接任SEC主席,或推动加密货币监管转型

据彭博社报道,美国候任总统唐纳德·特朗普正在考虑由 保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins)接替即将卸任的证券交易委员会(SEC)主席 加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler)。阿特金斯以其支持数字资产的立场闻名,这一任命可能为SEC的加密货币监管政策带来重大转变。 事件概况 阿特金斯的背景 : 阿特金斯曾在乔治·W·布什政府期间担任SEC专员。他一直推动制定明确且平衡的加密货币法规,力求为金融科技创新提供支持。 行业经验 : 离开SEC后,阿特金斯领导了 Patomak Global Partners ,一家为主要金融公司提供咨询的机构。他主张简化监管流程以鼓励创新,同时确保市场完整性。 其他候选人 : 马克·乌耶达 (Mark Uyeda):现任SEC专员 希斯·塔伯特 (Heath Tarbert):前商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)主席 罗伯特·斯特宾斯 (Robert Stebbins):Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP合伙人 特朗普的亲加密货币立场 特朗普承诺终结根斯勒领导下的SEC“反加密货币运动”。根斯勒的任期因FTX崩盘等丑闻后的强力执法而备受争议,被批评为给行业带来了不确定性。 阿特金斯的潜在任命与特朗普的目标一致,即在保障市场完整性的同时,通过更加友好的监管政策推动数字资产的发展。 接下来会发生什么? SEC主席的任命预计将在未来几天内敲定。如果阿特金斯接任,这将表明SEC将采取更注重创新的监管方式,为加密货币行业带来更大的确定性和发展空间。

Capital A 股价下跌,因外汇驱动的第三季度业绩低于预期

Capital A Bhd 在周五早盘交易中股价下跌7%,至1.01令吉,市值降至46亿令吉。这是由于其2024财年第三季度业绩未达到大多数分析师预期,尽管受益于外汇收益提振。 2024财年第三季度亮点: 核心税后及少数股东权益后亏损 (Latmi):  1.434亿令吉,令2024财年前9个月的税后亏损达到1.195亿令吉。 业绩未达  香港联昌投资银行(HLIB)预计的7.549亿令吉的税后净利(Patmi),但与市场普遍预测的4.59亿令吉税后净利一致。 剔除例外项目 (EIs):  共计12亿令吉,主要由于15亿令吉的外汇收益,但被递延税务损失部分抵销。 环比表现: 核心Latmi从上一季度的5,760万令吉恶化至1.434亿令吉,主要受以下因素影响: 季节性收益率疲弱; 成本增加; ADE MRO(维修、保养及翻修)业务因6个新机库的启动成本造成亏损。 未来展望: 预计2024财年第四季度表现将有所改善,得益于: 更高的机队容量; 季节性需求和收益率的改善; 喷气燃料价格下降及美元贬值; 来自新ADE机库的运营贡献。 待决事项: 航空业务出售:  正等待法院批准出售给亚航长途(AirAsia X Bhd, KL:AAX),预计在2025财年第一季度完成。 PN17状态:  出售后仍维持,预计在2025财年上半年完成相关解决方案。 联昌投资银行(HLIB)建议: 维持“买入”评级,目标价为1.68令吉,估值基于航空业务为68亿令吉,非航空业务为21.5亿令吉。 尽管短期面临挑战,Capital A 的长期增长前景依然受到更强的季节性表现和战略举措的支持。

KLCI Slides as Profit-Taking Hits Blue Chips, Ringgit Holds Firm

Malaysia’s benchmark index retreated as  profit-taking in key heavyweights  weighed on sentiment, while overall market activity remained active. Summary FBM KLCI fell 0.83% to 1,684.93 , dragged by losses in banking and selected large-cap names, despite steady trading participation. Market Performance FBM KLCI :  1,684.93 (-0.83%) FBM Mid 70:  -0.00% (flat) FBM Small Cap:  -0.23% FBM ACE:  +0.20% Broad market was mixed , with weakness concentrated in large caps. Market Breadth & Trading Activity Total volume:  3.54 billion shares Total value:  RM4.19 billion Gainers:  456 Losers:  678 Unchanged:  550 Market breadth turned negative , reflecting cautious sentiment. Top Movers – KLCI Gainers Axiata (6888.MY)   +1.54% Petronas Gas (6033.MY)   +1.18% Sunway (5211.MY)   +1.15% Losers Hong Leong Bank (5819.MY)   -3.29% Maybank (1155.MY)   -3.02% CIMB (1023.MY)   -2.47% Banking sector weakness was the main ...