Key Takeaway
Malaysia’s industrial production surged +3.0% YoY in June, sharply beating expectations of +1.2% and accelerating from May’s +0.3% — a signal that 2Q GDP growth is likely to hit 4.5%, with upside potential to 4.6%, according to RHB.
Sector Drivers
Manufacturing and mining led the improvement, suggesting momentum is broadening beyond export recovery.
The upbeat print reflects resilience in domestic output despite global trade uncertainties.
Risks on the Radar
RHB flags two headwinds ahead: the White House’s proposed 100% tariff on foreign semiconductors, and Malaysia’s expanded Sales and Services Tax (SST).
However, the tariff being reduced to 19% versus the initially announced 25% has softened sentiment risk and could support external demand over time.
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