Despite a sluggish second-quarter earnings season across Bursa Malaysia, CIMB Securities has raised its year-end target and earnings growth forecast for the FBM KLCI, citing stronger-than-expected results from key index constituents.
Earnings Drag: 2Q Off to a Weak Start
CIMB flagged a subdued 2Q2025 performance, with nearly half of its coverage universe missing expectations. Of the 28 companies (32% of its total coverage) reporting results between June 1 and Aug 18:
Only 14% beat estimates
46% missed forecasts
Beat-to-miss ratio: 0.30 (up from 0.24 in 1Q2025)
Weakness was broad-based across several sectors:
Automotive
Gloves
Technology
Consumer
Oil & Gas
Telecommunications
Banking
Major headwinds included soft ASPs, elevated costs, start-up losses, and lower plant utilisation.
KLCI Constituents Show Resilience
In contrast to the broader market, KLCI component stocks fared better. Among the eight index members that reported:
2 beat, 2 missed
Beat-to-miss ratio: 1.0
Notable outperformers:
SD Guthrie Bhd (SDG): Boosted by higher palm kernel prices
AMMB Holdings Bhd (AMBANK): Benefited from lower credit costs
These strong performances helped offset weaknesses elsewhere, prompting:
FY2025 KLCI earnings growth forecast raised to 4.4% (from 3.4%)
Year-end KLCI target lifted to 1,567 (from 1,560)
Key Underperformers Across the Board
Even as some index stocks held up, several others struggled:
Petronas Chemicals (PCHEM): Posted a loss on weak plant utilisation
CelcomDigi (CDB): Missed due to rising operating costs and taxes
Outside the index:
Vitrox (VITROX): Beat on strong delivery volumes
Yinson (YINSON): Boosted by reversal of liquidated damages
But most tech and financial names disappointed:
CTOS, Unisem, VS Industry: Missed expectations; VS saw a 42% YoY profit drop
RCE Capital, LPI Capital, Affin Bank: Earnings weighed by impairments, claims, and weak income
Consumer and glove sectors also faltered:
F&N, MyNews: Dragged by high opex and new business losses
Bermaz Auto: Hit by lower sales
Hartalega, Top Glove: Margins eroded by weak pricing and rising costs
Conclusion
CIMB’s outlook revision highlights the resilience of key KLCI constituents despite a broadly disappointing 2Q earnings season. Still, broader market sentiment remains cautious as operational headwinds persist across several sectors.
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