Volatility Ahead, But Panic on Hold
Indian stocks are expected to open choppy as Trump threatens higher tariffs on India, citing its continued purchase of Russian oil. Still, Nifty futures held steady in early trade, suggesting markets aren’t pricing in immediate shock — at least for now.
“Short-lived,” says Mark Mobius on Trump’s tariff noise.
Earnings Recovery Delayed
Jefferies & Motilal Oswal: More FY26 profit downgrades ahead
Q1 results largely underwhelming — marking the 4th straight quarter of muted growth
Morgan Stanley remains hopeful for a September quarter rebound
Key earnings today:
Bharti Airtel
Adani Ports
Britannia Industries
MSCI Inclusion Buzz
Nuvama sees rising passive inflows ahead of the MSCI Standard Index reshuffle. Candidates include:
Vishal Mega Mart
Swiggy
Hitachi Energy India
Waaree Energies
Founders Ride the Deal Boom
Promoter ownership hits 8-year low (40.58%) in listed Indian firms
Founders are selling stakes for profit-taking, debt reduction, and legacy planning
Driven by a buoyant equity capital market, this trend is expected to continue
Analyst Actions
MCX: Downgraded to Reduce at Avendus Spark (TP: ₹7,900)
ABB India: Downgraded to Add at Axis Capital (TP: ₹5,536)
Ajax Engineering: Initiated Buy at Asian Markets (TP: ₹861)
Consumer Staples Shine Amid Trade Tensions
Nifty FMCG Index: ▲1.7% in July
Nifty 50: ▼2.9%
Driven by:
6-year low inflation
Rate easing expectations
Strong domestic demand
Cigarette & detergent makers are emerging as defensive favorites, offering both safety and growth in uncertain times.
Takeaway
India’s markets are holding steady — for now — despite escalating trade rhetoric. While earnings recovery is delayed, passive flows, resilient consumption, and low inflation offer support. However, the real test may come if tariffs materialize, affecting both sentiment and earnings outlook in the quarters ahead.
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