U.S. stocks posted a mixed finish on Thursday despite a scorching July Producer Price Index (PPI) reading that initially rattled markets. The PPI jumped 0.9% month-on-month, the fastest in three years and well above forecasts, sparking a swift sell-off in futures before buyers stepped back in.
By the close:
S&P 500 eked out a record high.
Dow Jones and Nasdaq ended marginally lower.
Beneath the surface, small caps and rate-sensitive stocks took heavy hits.
Key market dynamics:
Rotation stalls – Earlier in the week, falling bond yields had driven money into small caps and homebuilders. The hot PPI abruptly reversed this trend.
Small-cap slump – Russell 2000 fell 1.2%; homebuilder ETF XHB slid 1.8%.
Mega-cap support – Heavyweights like Amazon and Netflix propped up the indexes, masking broader market weakness.
Breadth deterioration – Decliners outnumbered gainers in the S&P 500 despite the index’s modest rise.
Economists noted that much of the PPI surprise came from higher portfolio-management fees, a form of financial-services inflation, with limited direct connection to tariffs. This suggests only a modest near-term impact on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index.
Rate expectations adjusted slightly — traders trimmed odds of a September Fed cut, though markets still see it as likely. But analysts warn: if inflation proves sticky while labor market cracks widen, even Big Tech may not escape the fallout.
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