The U.S. stock market is pushing to record highs despite a fragile economy, prompting Goldman Sachs to suggest put options as a cost-effective hedge against potential declines.
Market Calm Masks Risks
The S&P 500 logged its 18th record high of 2025 on Thursday.
Economic data shows slowing consumer spending and stubborn inflation.
President Trump’s Federal Reserve criticism and unpredictable trade policies add to uncertainty.
VIX (fear gauge) has fallen to 14.7, well below its historical average of 19.5.
Why Puts Look Cheap Now
Put option pricing is closely tied to market volatility.
With VIX low, three-month puts are trading at relatively low premiums.
“Markets at all-time highs and low volatility levels provide an attractive opportunity for hedging,” said Goldman’s Arun Prakash.
ETF Opportunities
Goldman recommends three ETFs with above-average economic sensitivity and cheap options pricing:
iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) – Puts cost 1.4% of share value.
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) – Puts cost 3.1%.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) – Puts cost 3.3%.
Stock Ideas: Regional Banks
Goldman highlights regional banks as another target for inexpensive hedging:
KeyCorp (KEY) – Puts cost 2.1%.
Regions Financial (RF) – Puts cost 1.7%.
Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) – Puts cost 1.8%.
These banks are less diversified than larger peers and more sensitive to interest-rate changes, making them vulnerable if growth slows.
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