Gold prices are hovering near $3,375/oz, holding recent gains as traders ramp up expectations for a September Fed rate cut. Weaker US jobs data and rising concerns over economic slowdown have fueled a 98% probability of a rate cut being priced in.
Key Drivers:
Weak US jobs data → fuels dovish Fed outlook
Fed independence concerns → resignation of Governor Adriana Kugler opens door for Trump-aligned replacement
Gold’s 2025 rally: ▲ 30% YTD
Fueled by:
Trade wars
Geopolitical risks
Central bank purchases
Dollar weakness
Market Snapshot (as of 8:18am SGT):
Gold: $3,377.26/oz ▲0.1%
Silver, Palladium, Platinum: steady
Bloomberg Dollar Index: ▼0.2%
Outlook:
Fidelity International sees gold hitting $4,000/oz by end-2026 if:
Fed accelerates rate cuts
US dollar continues to weaken
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