China’s major tech players are set to kick off Q2 2025 earnings season this week, with AI and cloud services driving growth, while food delivery losses weigh on profitability.
Earnings Calendar
Tencent – Aug 13
JD.com – Aug 14
Xiaomi – Aug 19
Bilibili & Kuaishou – Aug 21
Alibaba, Meituan, PDD Holdings – Dates TBD
Company Highlights & Expectations
🔹 Tencent (00700.HK) – Gaming & AI Cloud Growth
Revenue: +10–11% YoY to ~CNY 177B
Adj. EBIT: +10–15%
Gaming boost: Project Delta now Tencent’s 2nd-biggest domestic game (20M DAUs); Valorant mobile launching Aug 19 (CNY 7B annualized revenue est.).
Advertising & cloud segments seeing AI-driven momentum, with cloud expected to return to double-digit growth.
🔹 JD.com (JD.US) – Retail Profits Up, Food Delivery Losses Deepen
Revenue: +15% to CNY 335B
EPS: -57% YoY to CNY 3.48
Food delivery unit loss: >CNY 10B in Q2, likely to persist into Q3.
Retail ops profit +15%, but overall margins hit by heavy subsidies and new business investments.
🔹 Alibaba (BABA.US) – Cloud Growth Accelerates
AI cloud revenue growth: +23% in Q2 (vs. +18% in Q1).
AI inference demand surging; CapEx to scale AI model deployment.
Still behind global leaders (Google Cloud, Azure), but momentum improving.
🔹 Xiaomi (01810.HK) – Smartphone Strength & Services Expansion
Revenue: +~30% YoY
EPS: >2x YoY growth
Overseas smartphone sales strong; IoT & services revenue expanding.
Focus: converting hardware gains into recurring service income.
🔹 Bilibili (BILI.US) – Subscription & Ad Growth
Revenue: +~20% YoY
EPS: +133% YoY
Gains in subscriptions, advertising, gaming; still balancing cost control with growth investments.
🔹 Kuaishou (01024.HK) – Live-streaming & E-commerce Gains
Revenue: +~11% YoY
Earnings: +20% YoY
Content monetization & live commerce remain growth pillars.
Food Delivery Margin Pressure
Fierce competition among Meituan, Alibaba, JD.com driving subsidies.
Meituan’s per-delivery profit expected to fall from CNY 0.80 → 0.70 in Q3.
Alibaba’s food delivery loss: CNY 11B in Q2, possibly CNY 19B in Q3.
JD.com loss: >CNY 10B in Q2.
Investor Takeaways
AI & Cloud – Key revenue drivers for Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance-linked services.
Smartphones & IoT – Xiaomi set to post standout growth.
Content Platforms – Strong monetization for Bilibili & Kuaishou, but cost discipline critical.
Food Delivery – Ongoing price wars threaten near-term profitability across the sector.
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