Asian equities are set for a cautious open after stronger-than-expected US wholesale inflation curbed Wall Street’s momentum and lifted Treasury yields, trimming bets on aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Futures: Australia & Japan point to gains, Hong Kong futures lower.
Wall Street: S&P 500 flat after a 30% rally since April lows; Intel surged on reports of a potential US government stake; Applied Materials gave a weak forecast after hours.
Rates & FX: US 2-year Treasury yields +6bps to 3.73%; September Fed rate cut odds slipped to ~90%. USD rose; Bitcoin pulled back from record highs.
Inflation Data: July PPI rose at the fastest pace in 3 years, reflecting higher import costs from tariffs. CPI earlier in the week suggested milder pass-through; Fed still expected to cut next month but the strength in wholesale prices could temper the pace.
Regional focus:
China: July retail sales and industrial output data due, with Bloomberg surveys pointing to slower growth amid the longest deflation streak since the 1990s and US trade tensions.
India: S&P Global Ratings upgrade spurred early rally; 10-year yields fell 10bps. Analysts warn of risks from Trump’s 50% tariff on Indian goods, potentially requiring fiscal support.
Commodities: Oil recovered in thin trade ahead of Friday’s Trump-Putin summit; gold eased as rate-cut bets softened.
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