Weak Payroll Data Spurs Fears of Slowing US Economy
Asian equity markets opened the week under pressure after US July payroll revisions cut 290,000 jobs off prior estimates, while the three-month average slowed sharply to just 35,000. The data reinforced fears that the US economy is cooling faster than expected and pushed traders to price in a 90% probability of a September Fed rate cut, up from 40% before the report.
Regional Market Reaction
Nikkei 225: -2.1%
Kospi: -0.2%
MSCI Asia ex-Japan: +0.3% (helped by selective buying)
S&P 500 futures: +0.1%
Nasdaq futures: +0.2%
Despite the weak macro tone, Wall Street earnings remain a buffer, with 63% of S&P 500 companies beating forecasts and estimated growth rising to 9.8% YoY.
Commodities: Oil Under Pressure, Gold Holds Gains
Brent: -0.6% to US$69.24
WTI: -0.6% to US$66.93
Gold: Flat at US$3,361/oz after Friday’s 2% rally
Oil’s slide followed Opec+’s surprise decision to boost September output, fully reversing last year’s 2.2m bpd cut.
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