US consumers’ expectations for inflation over the next year dropped for the second month in a row in June. According to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey, consumers now anticipate prices to rise by 3% annually, down from 3.2% in May.
This decline brings short-term inflation expectations back to the levels seen from December to April, before they increased to 3.3%.
The survey also showed that consumers expect home prices to increase by 3% over the next year, down from 3.3% in May. Additionally, consumers foresee slower rises in the costs of gas, food, medical care, and rent over the next 12 months.
A report due on Thursday is expected to confirm that the core consumer price index, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.2% in June, marking the smallest back-to-back gains since August.
In the longer term, the survey revealed a slight increase in the three-year inflation outlook to 2.9% from 2.8%, while the five-year expectation fell to 2.8% from 3%.
Key Takeaways:
- Inflation Expectations: Consumers expect prices to rise by 3% over the next year, down from 3.2% in May.
- Home Prices: Expectations for home price increases dropped to 3%, aligning with the 12-month average.
- Cost of Living: Anticipated slower increases in the costs of gas, food, medical care, and rent.
- Core CPI: The core consumer price index is expected to rise by 0.2% in June.
- Long-Term Outlook: Three-year inflation expectations rose slightly to 2.9%, while five-year expectations fell to 2.8%.
These trends suggest a cooling of near-term inflation pressures, although some long-term concerns remain.

Comments
Post a Comment