The first half of 2025 saw ETFs navigating a minefield of rate cut speculation, geopolitical flashpoints, and commodity swings. Three standout signals emerged:
1️⃣ Gold Miners & Hedging Plays: Gold above $3,500/oz drove leveraged gold mining ETFs sharply higher. Retail traders piled in, but expect volatility ahead if rates stay elevated.
2️⃣ Defense & Security Theme: Defense ETFs rallied amid Middle East tension and NATO budget increases. Consider them for portfolio diversification with geopolitical tailwinds.
3️⃣ Asia Tech Revival: South Korean-focused ETFs outperformed as semiconductor exports rebounded. Policy stability and tech momentum could keep this trade alive into 2H.
Money Master Take:
Stay nimble. Gold & defense offer hedge potential but are prone to sharp reversals.
Asia tech exposure could reward long-term holders if earnings momentum continues.
Big flows into low-cost Vanguard broad beta ETFs highlight a steady shift to passive core holdings despite market noise.
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