U.S. 10Y touches 5%, AI stocks tumble and oil stays above US$105 markets brace for tomorrow’s Fed decision Global markets enter Tuesday with three pressure points converging: U.S. borrowing costs briefly crossed 5%, oil remains above US$100, and the AI trade suffered a sharp reset overnight . The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all closed lower Monday, while the Philadelphia semiconductor index plunged 5.9% . For Malaysian investors, there was one encouraging counterpoint: the FBM KLCI rebounded 0.66% to 1,698.01 , snapping four consecutive losing sessions despite the difficult global backdrop. 30-second market snapshot Market / Asset Latest 🇺🇸 S&P 500 7,619.98, -0.48% 🇺🇸 Dow Jones 52,421.20, -0.29% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq 26,186.41, -0.56% 🇲🇾 FBM KLCI 1,698.01, +0.66% 💵 USD/MYR ~4.04–4.05 🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y Treasury briefly >5%; ~4.98% later 🥇 Spot gold ~US$4,313/oz, -0.8% 🛢️ Brent US$105.68/bbl, +~1% ₿ Bitcoin ~US$79,150, +~2% Monday The dollar strengthened Mo...
Upcoming Tariffs on Canada & Mexico
- Starting March 4, a 25% tax on imports from Canada & Mexico will take effect (10% for Canadian energy imports).
- These tariffs were delayed for 30 days to allow both countries to strengthen border security against illegal immigration & drug trafficking.
- Trump justifies the move by citing the fentanyl crisis and its impact on the U.S.
Reciprocal Tariffs Plan
- Signed on Feb. 13, this strategy matches tariffs imposed on U.S. exports by other countries.
- Includes treating value-added taxes (VATs) as tariffs, which could disrupt trade with Europe.
- Implementation dates remain unclear, but major shifts in trade flows are expected.
Steel & Aluminum Tariffs (Effective March 4)
- 25% tariffs on global steel & aluminum imports reinstated to protect U.S. industries.
- Alcoa CEO warns the aluminum tax could cost 100,000 U.S. jobs and hurt American workers.
Potential Future Tariffs
- Trump has hinted at 25% tariffs on autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, though no timeline has been set.
Market & Economic Impact
- Tariff fears weighed on U.S. stocks, pushing the S&P 500 lower.
- Consumer confidence drops to an 8-month low, as inflation concerns rise.
- Manufacturers worry about long-term consequences, even if some tariffs never materialize.
Summary:
- New tariffs on Canadian & Mexican imports begin March 4, with security concerns driving the policy.
- Global steel & aluminum tariffs reinstated, sparking backlash from U.S. industry leaders.
- Potential auto & semiconductor tariffs loom, creating uncertainty for global trade.
- Market reaction negative, with stocks slipping and consumer confidence shaken.
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