Nvidia Corp, once seen as an unstoppable force in AI, is showing signs of vulnerability as investor fears over DeepSeek’s competition linger. The
stock plunged 17% in a single day, wiping out
$590 billion in market value, and remains
12% below its January high despite a
$300 billion AI spending commitment from Big Tech.
🚨 DeepSeek Disrupts Nvidia’s AI Dominance
🔹 Chinese AI startup DeepSeek claims to achieve high performance with fewer Nvidia chips, raising concerns over AI hardware demand.
🔹 Investors are now hesitant to “buy the dip”—a sharp contrast to previous Nvidia sell-offs.
🔹 The stock only saw buying interest after falling 21%, a rare occurrence in Nvidia’s meteoric rise.
💬 Gene Munster (Deepwater Asset Management): "DeepSeek was a wake-up call. Nvidia went from an impenetrable story to one that can shift dramatically."
📌 Why It Matters: Investors fear AI demand may not be as insatiable as before, and Nvidia’s dominance is being challenged.
📊 Investor Confidence Wobbles Ahead of Earnings
📌 Nvidia’s earnings report on Feb 26 will be crucial.
- Expected revenue growth: 73% (down from 94% last quarter and 265% a year ago).
- Concerns that past exponential growth will be tough to sustain.
📌 Morgan Stanley analysts warn that negative sentiment is now the biggest risk.
💬 "The cynicism is overwhelming. It remains to be seen if revenue acceleration can mitigate that concern."
📌 If Nvidia disappoints, shares could remain range-bound until the second half of 2025.
📉 Nvidia's Blackwell Chips: Another Uncertainty
🔹 Investors are uneasy about the rollout of Nvidia’s next-gen Blackwell chips.
🔹 Supply chain issues and manufacturing delays are raising costs and slowing deployment.
🔹 Despite Nvidia’s assurances, skepticism remains.
💬 Ivana Delevska (SPEAR Invest): "Management says everything is on track, but for some reason, investors aren’t convinced."
📌 The stock’s muted recovery suggests that Nvidia must deliver exceptional earnings to regain investor confidence.
💰 Is Nvidia’s Stock Now a Buy?
✔️ Evercore ISI sees the selloff as a buying opportunity, upgrading the stock to a tactical outperform ahead of earnings.
✔️ Valuation has become more attractive: Nvidia now trades at 30x forward earnings, down from a 5-year average of 40x.
📌 However, without a strong earnings beat, Nvidia could struggle to recover quickly.
🔍 What’s Next for Nvidia?
✔️ Feb 26 earnings report will set the tone for the stock’s future.
✔️ Blackwell chip rollout updates will be closely scrutinized.
✔️ Investors will watch how AI spending by Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft plays out in the coming months.
📌 For now, Nvidia is no longer “bulletproof”—and DeepSeek’s challenge is a test of its AI leadership.
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