Oil jumps above US$107 as Asia sells off, Fed and BOJ rate decisions now collide with a fresh energy shock Markets are opening the week under renewed pressure. Brent crude has jumped about 3% to above US$107 , Asian equities are falling sharply, and U.S. Treasury yields remain close to 5%. At the same time, investors are preparing for possible rate hikes from both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan this week . For investors, the central question has become: Can central banks contain inflation without causing a much larger slowdown when energy prices are surging at the same time? 30-second market snapshot Market / Asset Latest 🇺🇸 S&P 500 7,656.98, +0.86% Friday 🇺🇸 Dow Jones +0.98% Friday 🇺🇸 Nasdaq +0.96% Friday 🇲🇾 FBM KLCI 1,686.74, -1.10% Friday 🇯🇵 Nikkei -1.7% Monday morning 🇰🇷 Kospi -3.3% Monday morning 🌏 MSCI Asia ex-Japan -0.8% 🛢️ Brent crude ~US$107.36, +2.6% 🛢️ WTI crude ~US$102.48, +2.4% 🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y Treasury ~4.97% 🥇 Gold ~US$4,336...
1. Key Earnings Reports (AI & Tech Sector Focus)
- NVIDIA (NVDA): Q4 2025 earnings expected this week. Analysts forecast $38.13B in revenue (+72.52% YoY) and $0.80 EPS (+61.83% YoY). AI-driven data center growth remains strong despite geopolitical risks.
- Salesforce (CRM): Reports Wednesday after market close, alongside Snowflake (SNOW) and C3.ai (AI).
- Workday (WDAY): Reports Tuesday.
- Dell Technologies (DELL) & HP Inc (HPQ): Earnings due Thursday after the market close.
- Vistra Energy (VST): Reports Thursday before the market open.
2. Macroeconomic Events: PCE Inflation Data
- The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index will be released, influencing the Fed's interest rate decision in its March 18-19 meeting.
- Predictions:
- PCE to rise 2.5% YoY (previous: 2.6%).
- Core PCE (excludes food & energy) expected at 2.6% YoY (previous: 2.8%).
- A lower-than-expected PCE could boost markets, while a higher-than-expected result may cause concerns, especially amid inflationary risks from increased tariffs.
3. Market Sentiment & Interest Rate Outlook
- Current expectations from CME FedWatch indicate an equal probability of one or two rate cuts this year.
- Investors will closely watch how the market reacts to the inflation data and AI stock earnings.
Key Takeaways:
📌 Biggest focus: NVIDIA’s earnings & AI sector performance.
📌 Inflation data: A key factor for the Fed's interest rate decision.
📌 Market reaction: Expected volatility based on PCE results & corporate earnings.
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