U.S. 10Y touches 5%, AI stocks tumble and oil stays above US$105 markets brace for tomorrow’s Fed decision Global markets enter Tuesday with three pressure points converging: U.S. borrowing costs briefly crossed 5%, oil remains above US$100, and the AI trade suffered a sharp reset overnight . The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all closed lower Monday, while the Philadelphia semiconductor index plunged 5.9% . For Malaysian investors, there was one encouraging counterpoint: the FBM KLCI rebounded 0.66% to 1,698.01 , snapping four consecutive losing sessions despite the difficult global backdrop. 30-second market snapshot Market / Asset Latest 🇺🇸 S&P 500 7,619.98, -0.48% 🇺🇸 Dow Jones 52,421.20, -0.29% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq 26,186.41, -0.56% 🇲🇾 FBM KLCI 1,698.01, +0.66% 💵 USD/MYR ~4.04–4.05 🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y Treasury briefly >5%; ~4.98% later 🥇 Spot gold ~US$4,313/oz, -0.8% 🛢️ Brent US$105.68/bbl, +~1% ₿ Bitcoin ~US$79,150, +~2% Monday The dollar strengthened Mo...
Market Rally Driven by Trump’s Tax Cuts & Economic Optimism
- Global stocks surged after House Republicans approved President Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax-cut plan.
- U.S. stock futures rebounded, with Nasdaq futures up 0.8% and S&P 500 futures gaining 0.5%.
- European stocks climbed for the second day, with STOXX 600 up 0.7%, and blue-chip indexes in Frankfurt, Paris, and London rising between 0.7% and 1.1%.
Treasury Yields & Fed Rate Expectations
- U.S. Treasury yields edged higher:
- 10-year yield rose to 4.311% after dropping 10 basis points on Tuesday.
- 2-year yield increased by 2 basis points to 4.112%.
- Investors anticipate more debt issuance and at least two Fed rate cuts this year due to slowing U.S. economic data.
- U.S. consumer confidence fell at its sharpest pace in 3.5 years, fueling expectations of a dovish Fed policy.
Dollar, Commodities, and Market Trends
- The dollar index gained 0.2%, recovering from a two-month low.
- Oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude at $73.22 and WTI crude up 0.4% to $69.19 after Tuesday’s slump.
- Copper prices jumped 4% after Trump ordered a probe into potential copper tariffs.
- Gold remained steady at $2,915 per ounce.
Nvidia Earnings & AI Market Focus
- Investors await Nvidia’s earnings report, a key indicator of AI sector momentum.
- AI-linked stocks saw a selloff earlier this week, with Magnificent Seven stocks dropping 2.5% on Tuesday.
- Analyst concerns about slowing data center investments could impact sentiment on AI stocks.
Summary:
- Global stocks surged as Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax-cut plan advanced in the House.
- U.S. Treasury yields climbed, while expectations for Fed rate cuts grew due to weak consumer confidence data.
- The dollar rebounded, oil and copper prices gained, and markets are closely watching Nvidia’s earnings for AI sector clarity.
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