Asian markets plunged on Wednesday, led by a dramatic selloff in South Korea, as investors rushed to unwind chipmaker bets amid rising fears that a prolonged Middle East war could trigger a sustained energy shock.
South Korea Triggers Circuit Breaker
KOSPI Index slumped more than 11%, prompting a circuit breaker. Two-day losses widened to 17% — the steepest since 2009.
The Korean won dropped to a 17-year low, compounding market stress.
Elsewhere:
Nikkei 225 fell 4.3%
Taiwan stocks dropped 3.6%
S&P 500 futures slipped 0.6%
Key Point: Heavy profit-taking in semiconductor stocks amplified the regional selloff.
Chipmakers had been among the hottest trades in recent months, driven by AI demand. Investors are now cashing out of crowded positions.
Oil Surge Drives Inflation Fears
Brent crude rose more than 13% this week to US$82.08 per barrel.
Prices retreated slightly after Donald Trump ordered insurance guarantees for Gulf shipping and signalled potential naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz.
However, ongoing attacks on oil infrastructure and US embassies have raised concerns about prolonged disruption.
Key Point: Energy-importing economies like Japan, South Korea and Taiwan face heightened inflation risks.
Inflation and Rate Cut Dilemma
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 Index closed 0.8% lower as investors assessed the implications of sustained higher oil prices.
The central question remains:
Will oil stay elevated?
Will inflation re-accelerate?
Will central banks delay interest rate cuts?
Chuck Carlson of Horizon Investment Services highlighted the growing concern about how energy costs might pass through to broader inflation.
Gold, Currencies and Europe
Gold, which had rallied strongly this year, dropped about 4.5% overnight as investors unwound profitable positions.
The Australian dollar fell below US$0.70.
The euro hovered near US$1.16 as markets priced in Europe’s vulnerability to higher energy costs. European benchmark gas prices have surged about 65% in two days.
Big Picture
Markets are shifting from viewing the conflict as a temporary volatility event to reassessing the risk of a sustained energy shock.
If oil remains above US$80:
Inflation pressures may intensify
Rate cuts could be postponed
Volatility in equities and currencies may persist
Overall theme: Seoul’s crash underscores mounting fears that an oil-driven inflation shock could derail rate-cut expectations and extend Asia’s market rout.

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