Global markets extended losses as the Middle East conflict entered its fourth day, driving oil and gas prices sharply higher and reviving fears of a prolonged inflation shock.
Key Takeaways
Oil surged above US$80 as Iran targeted energy infrastructure and threatened Strait of Hormuz shipping routes.
Global stocks and sovereign bonds sold off as inflation concerns resurfaced.
Treasury and Bund yields climbed, signalling markets no longer view bonds as clear safe havens.
South Korea led Asia’s rout, while European markets opened sharply lower.
Energy Shock Takes Center Stage
Brent crude rose 3.3% to US$80.34 per barrel, while WTI climbed 2.5% to US$71.54.
European natural gas prices surged nearly 30% after QatarEnergy halted production at the Ras Laffan LNG complex following an Iranian drone strike. The Dutch TTF contract hit its highest level in over a year.
Analysts warn this is the biggest threat to global gas markets since 2022.
Key Point: Energy price spikes are being interpreted as an inflation shock rather than a growth shock.
Bonds Sell Off Alongside Equities
Contrary to typical geopolitical crises, government bonds also weakened.
US Treasury yields edged higher:
2-year yield: 3.49%
10-year yield: 4.06%
STOXX Europe 600 fell 2.7% in early trade, while:
German 10-year Bund yield jumped to 2.77%
Japan 10-year yield rose to 2.12%
Australia 10-year yield climbed to 4.73%
The move suggests markets are concerned about higher-for-longer interest rates due to oil-driven inflation.
Asia and Europe Under Pressure
KOSPI Index plunged 7.2%, its worst session since August 2024.
Meanwhile, Chinese energy giants including PetroChina and CNOOC surged 10% for a second straight day.
European benchmarks also tumbled:
FTSE 100 -1.4%
CAC 40 -1.8%
DAX -2.1%
FTSE MIB -2.3%
Technology and financial stocks led declines.
US Futures Signal Further Weakness
Futures tied to:
S&P 500 Index fell 1.2%
Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.2%
Nasdaq Composite declined 1.3%
AI-related names weakened premarket:
Nvidia Corp. -2.7%
Micron Technology Inc. -5.7%
Dollar Gains, Gold Rises
US Dollar Index climbed to a near six-week high at 98.815.
Gold gained 0.3% to US$5,329 but remained capped below US$5,400 due to dollar strength.
Bitcoin fell 1.8% to US$68,176 as risk appetite deteriorated.
Bigger Picture
The closure threat to the Strait of Hormuz — which handles roughly 20% of global oil flows — raises the risk of prolonged supply disruptions.
Investors now face three intertwined risks:
Energy-driven inflation resurgence
Delayed rate cuts by central banks
Broader economic slowdown if conflict persists
While some markets still price the crisis as temporary, volatility across equities, bonds and commodities signals rising uncertainty.
Overall theme: Energy shock from the Iran conflict is reigniting inflation fears, driving a synchronized selloff across global stocks and bonds.

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