Skip to main content

Featured Post

Oil Shock Lifts Energy, Drags Broader Market — PCHEM Soars 13% as KLCI Slips

Malaysia’s market closed lower on March 2 as geopolitical tensions and surging oil prices pressured broader risk sentiment — but energy-linked counters surged. The  FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI  fell 0.96% to 1,700.21. Market Snapshot (March 2, 2026) FBM KLCI: 1,700.21 (-0.96%) FBM70: -1.30% FBM Small Cap: -0.98% FBM Emas: -1.03% Risk-off tone dominated — except in oil and gas. FBM KLCI Movers Top Gainer Petronas Chemicals Group Bhd  (PCHEM) +13.00% to RM3.390 Other Gainers Petronas Dagangan Bhd  +1.27% MISC Bhd  +1.24% Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Bhd  +1.12% RHB Bank Bhd  +0.71% Top Loser Mr DIY Group M Bhd  -7.26% Energy and commodity exposure dominated the gainers list. FBM70 Standouts Top Gainer Hibiscus Petroleum Bhd +18.13% Top Loser DRB-Hicom Bhd -8.20% Clear rotation into upstream oil producers. REIT Performance Top Gainer Tower Real Estate Investment Trust  (TWRREIT) +1.67% Top Loser Al-Salam Real Estate Investment Trust  (ALSREI...

Energy Stocks Shine as Oil Jumps — Bursa’s Only Bright Spot in Risk-Off Session

While the broader market sold off sharply, Malaysia’s energy counters rallied as crude prices surged following escalating tensions near the Strait of Hormuz.

The Bursa Malaysia Energy Index climbed nearly 3%, significantly outperforming the broader market.

Oil Spike Drives Sector Rotation

Brent crude rose more than 5% to US$76.61 amid concerns over potential disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, which handles roughly 20% of global oil supply.

Analysts at Mizuho Bank estimate oil could briefly spike toward US$80–95 in coming weeks. In an extreme blockade scenario, prices could test US$135 before retracing.

Top Energy Movers

Leading gainers included:

  • Hibiscus Petroleum Bhd +14%

  • Dialog Group Bhd +6%

  • MISC Bhd +1.2%

According to CGS International:

  • Hibiscus benefits directly as a pure upstream producer

  • Around 35% of Dialog’s profit comes from upstream exposure

  • MISC could gain from longer crude shipping routes and higher tanker freight rates

Money Master Take

Energy is currently acting as Malaysia’s macro hedge.

1. Upstream Names Offer Direct Oil Beta

Exploration and production players:

  • See immediate revenue sensitivity to crude prices

  • Benefit from higher realised prices

  • Experience margin expansion if operating costs remain stable

Hibiscus is the clearest short-term beneficiary.

2. Services and Shipping Gain Second-Order Effects

Higher oil prices typically:

  • Revive upstream capex cycles

  • Increase offshore activity

  • Boost tanker rates

Petroliam Nasional Bhd (PETRONAS) reported an 18% earnings decline, but still plans up to RM50 billion annual capex — supportive for service providers if sustained.

Kenanga Investment Bank sees 2025 potentially marking the bottom of the cycle.

3. Petrochemicals Lag the Immediate Impact

Petronas Chemicals Group Bhd may benefit from rising product prices, but contractual lags mean impact could take 2–3 months to materialise.

Short-term upside is more visible in upstream than downstream.

4. Airlines Face Margin Pressure

AirAsia X Bhd faces direct exposure.

Each US$1 increase in jet fuel price could reduce bottom line by roughly RM80 million, equivalent to about 5.3% earnings impact.

This creates a clear sector divergence within Bursa.

Investor Framework

If oil sustains above US$75–80:

  • Energy equities likely continue to outperform

  • Shipping gains momentum

  • Airlines and transport underperform

If oil retraces quickly:

  • Energy gains may fade

  • Broader market stabilises

The decisive factor remains duration of supply disruption.

Bottom Line

  • Energy stocks outperformed sharply amid oil spike.

  • Upstream players offer the cleanest exposure.

  • Services and shipping benefit from capex and freight dynamics.

  • Airlines face earnings pressure from fuel sensitivity.

Energy is currently functioning as Bursa’s defensive macro trade.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

特朗普考虑保罗·阿特金斯接任SEC主席,或推动加密货币监管转型

据彭博社报道,美国候任总统唐纳德·特朗普正在考虑由 保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins)接替即将卸任的证券交易委员会(SEC)主席 加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler)。阿特金斯以其支持数字资产的立场闻名,这一任命可能为SEC的加密货币监管政策带来重大转变。 事件概况 阿特金斯的背景 : 阿特金斯曾在乔治·W·布什政府期间担任SEC专员。他一直推动制定明确且平衡的加密货币法规,力求为金融科技创新提供支持。 行业经验 : 离开SEC后,阿特金斯领导了 Patomak Global Partners ,一家为主要金融公司提供咨询的机构。他主张简化监管流程以鼓励创新,同时确保市场完整性。 其他候选人 : 马克·乌耶达 (Mark Uyeda):现任SEC专员 希斯·塔伯特 (Heath Tarbert):前商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)主席 罗伯特·斯特宾斯 (Robert Stebbins):Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP合伙人 特朗普的亲加密货币立场 特朗普承诺终结根斯勒领导下的SEC“反加密货币运动”。根斯勒的任期因FTX崩盘等丑闻后的强力执法而备受争议,被批评为给行业带来了不确定性。 阿特金斯的潜在任命与特朗普的目标一致,即在保障市场完整性的同时,通过更加友好的监管政策推动数字资产的发展。 接下来会发生什么? SEC主席的任命预计将在未来几天内敲定。如果阿特金斯接任,这将表明SEC将采取更注重创新的监管方式,为加密货币行业带来更大的确定性和发展空间。

Capital A 股价下跌,因外汇驱动的第三季度业绩低于预期

Capital A Bhd 在周五早盘交易中股价下跌7%,至1.01令吉,市值降至46亿令吉。这是由于其2024财年第三季度业绩未达到大多数分析师预期,尽管受益于外汇收益提振。 2024财年第三季度亮点: 核心税后及少数股东权益后亏损 (Latmi):  1.434亿令吉,令2024财年前9个月的税后亏损达到1.195亿令吉。 业绩未达  香港联昌投资银行(HLIB)预计的7.549亿令吉的税后净利(Patmi),但与市场普遍预测的4.59亿令吉税后净利一致。 剔除例外项目 (EIs):  共计12亿令吉,主要由于15亿令吉的外汇收益,但被递延税务损失部分抵销。 环比表现: 核心Latmi从上一季度的5,760万令吉恶化至1.434亿令吉,主要受以下因素影响: 季节性收益率疲弱; 成本增加; ADE MRO(维修、保养及翻修)业务因6个新机库的启动成本造成亏损。 未来展望: 预计2024财年第四季度表现将有所改善,得益于: 更高的机队容量; 季节性需求和收益率的改善; 喷气燃料价格下降及美元贬值; 来自新ADE机库的运营贡献。 待决事项: 航空业务出售:  正等待法院批准出售给亚航长途(AirAsia X Bhd, KL:AAX),预计在2025财年第一季度完成。 PN17状态:  出售后仍维持,预计在2025财年上半年完成相关解决方案。 联昌投资银行(HLIB)建议: 维持“买入”评级,目标价为1.68令吉,估值基于航空业务为68亿令吉,非航空业务为21.5亿令吉。 尽管短期面临挑战,Capital A 的长期增长前景依然受到更强的季节性表现和战略举措的支持。

Market Daily Report: Bursa Malaysia Ends At Two-month High On Positive Sentiment

KUALA LUMPUR, Dec 12 (Bernama) -- Bursa Malaysia’s key index closed higher today on bargain hunting, in line with positive investor sentiment across regional markets, consolidating at its highest level in more than two months — a level last seen on Oct 2, 2025. At 5 pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) rose 12.42 points, or 0.76 per cent, to 1,637.81, compared with Thursday’s close of 1,625.39. The benchmark index opened 2.83 points lower at 1,622.56, thereafter edged down to an early low of 1,622.03, before staging an uptrend to an intraday high of 1,640.36 in late trading. Market breadth was positive, with gainers trouncing decliners at 743 versus 387. Another 530 counters were unchanged, 1,108 untraded, and 16 suspended. Turnover increased to 3.09 billion units worth RM2.46 billion from 2.99 billion units worth RM2.35 billion on Thursday. Rakuten Trade Sdn Bhd vice-president of equity research Thong Pak Leng said the FBM KLCI ended higher on continued...