Global equities traded mixed as investors weighed resilient US economic data, a continued AI-driven tech rally, and elevated oil prices stemming from Middle East tensions.
US Stocks Extend Gains on Tech Strength
Wall Street delivered a mixed but positive session:
- S&P 500 +0.8%
- Nasdaq Composite +1.7% (record high)
- Dow Jones Industrial Average little changed
The rally was driven by chipmakers and AI-related stocks:
- Intel +14% on potential deal with Apple
- Qualcomm +8%
- Nvidia +1.75%
This reinforces the ongoing strength in semiconductor and AI themes.
Oil Prices Stay Elevated Amid Ongoing Conflict
Crude prices remained volatile as tensions persisted:
- Brent crude settled at ~US$101.29 per barrel (+1.23%)
The market continues to monitor clashes near the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy chokepoint.
While investors are pricing in a potential resolution, analysts warn that prolonged disruptions remain likely, supporting elevated oil prices.
Strong Jobs Data, but Consumer Sentiment Weakens
US economic signals were mixed:
- Job growth exceeded expectations, with unemployment steady at 4.3%
- Consumer sentiment fell to a record low, reflecting pressure from high fuel costs
The data suggests:
- Labour market remains resilient
- But household confidence is weakening, creating uncertainty for consumption trends
Fed Outlook: Rates Likely on Hold
The combination of solid employment and moderating inflation concerns supports a wait-and-see approach from the Federal Reserve.
Markets now see:
- Rate cuts unlikely in the near term
- Limited urgency for further tightening
Asia and Europe Show Mixed Performance
- European stocks declined, with STOXX 600 -0.7%
- Asian markets pulled back after strong gains, with MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan Index -0.8%
However, weekly performance remains strong:
- Kospi +13.5% (weekly)
- Taiex Index +7%
- Nikkei 225 +5.4%
Dollar Weakens, Crypto Extends Rally
The US dollar declined for a second week, reflecting reduced safe-haven demand:
- Dollar -0.1% vs yen
- Euro rose to ~US$1.177
- China’s yuan near 6.8 per dollar
Meanwhile, Bitcoin climbed above US$80,000, extending its recent rebound.
Investor Takeaways
- Global markets are mixed, balancing AI-driven optimism with geopolitical risks.
- US tech and chip stocks remain key leaders, supported by strong earnings and deals.
- Oil prices above US$100 continue to pose inflation risks.
- US labour market is strong, but consumer sentiment is weakening.
- Investors should monitor oil, geopolitics, and Fed policy direction as key drivers.
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