U.S. 10Y touches 5%, AI stocks tumble and oil stays above US$105 markets brace for tomorrow’s Fed decision Global markets enter Tuesday with three pressure points converging: U.S. borrowing costs briefly crossed 5%, oil remains above US$100, and the AI trade suffered a sharp reset overnight . The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all closed lower Monday, while the Philadelphia semiconductor index plunged 5.9% . For Malaysian investors, there was one encouraging counterpoint: the FBM KLCI rebounded 0.66% to 1,698.01 , snapping four consecutive losing sessions despite the difficult global backdrop. 30-second market snapshot Market / Asset Latest 🇺🇸 S&P 500 7,619.98, -0.48% 🇺🇸 Dow Jones 52,421.20, -0.29% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq 26,186.41, -0.56% 🇲🇾 FBM KLCI 1,698.01, +0.66% 💵 USD/MYR ~4.04–4.05 🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y Treasury briefly >5%; ~4.98% later 🥇 Spot gold ~US$4,313/oz, -0.8% 🛢️ Brent US$105.68/bbl, +~1% ₿ Bitcoin ~US$79,150, +~2% Monday The dollar strengthened Mo...
Japan’s stock market is on the verge of a historic milestone, with the Nikkei 225 poised for a record closing high, driven by improving global sentiment and optimism over US-Iran peace talks.
Nikkei Erases War Losses, Eyes 60,000 Milestone
The Nikkei surged 2.4% to 59,549, surpassing its previous record close of 58,850 set in February.
- Now within 1% of the 60,000 level, a key psychological milestone
- The broader Topix rose 1.3%
The rally effectively wipes out losses triggered by the Iran conflict, highlighting the speed of the market recovery.
Export and Tech Stocks Lead Gains
The advance was led by export-oriented sectors, including:
- Automotive
- Electronics
- Information technology
These sectors are benefiting from:
- A weaker yen, boosting export competitiveness
- Continued AI-driven demand for semiconductor-related companies
Meanwhile, real estate and consumer stocks lagged, reflecting sector rotation.
Global Risk-On Sentiment Drives Rally
The rebound aligns with a broader global trend:
- S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 recently hit record highs
- Markets are pricing in a potential extension of the US-Iran ceasefire
This has helped unwind war-driven risk premiums and revive investor appetite for equities.
Structural Drivers Support Long-Term Rally
Japan’s equity rally is not just cyclical—it is underpinned by long-term structural factors:
- Corporate governance reforms improving shareholder returns
- Foreign fund inflows reaching historic levels
- Strong positioning in AI and semiconductor supply chains
These trends have helped Japan emerge as one of the top-performing global equity markets.
Risks Remain Despite Strong Momentum
Despite the bullish momentum, investors remain cautious:
- Oil prices remain elevated, posing inflation risks
- The Strait of Hormuz disruption continues to threaten energy supply
- Upcoming earnings season may reflect margin pressures
However, strong US earnings and improving global sentiment continue to support near-term upside.
Investor Takeaways
- The Nikkei 225 is set for a record close, erasing losses from the Iran conflict.
- Gains are driven by export sectors, AI demand, and a weaker yen.
- Global markets are in a risk-on mode, supported by peace talk optimism.
- Structural factors like governance reforms and foreign inflows support long-term growth.
- Key risks include oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and earnings outlook.
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