Key Takeaways
Rakuten Trade raises FBM KLCI target to 1,810
KLCI pauses after five-day rally despite strong Q4 GDP
Malaysia’s Q4 2025 GDP grew 5.7%, beating forecasts
2026 earnings growth projected at 7.1%
Banking and plantation sectors seen as key drivers
Ringgit forecast to strengthen to RM3.80–4.00
Malaysia’s equity market paused after a strong run, but broker optimism is clearly rising.
The FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI snapped its five-day rally, easing 0.14% to 1,712.74, even as Malaysia’s Q4 2025 GDP beat expectations at 5.7%. For the week, the index still delivered a solid 1.55% gain, reflecting underlying market resilience.
On Wall Street, sentiment turned cautious as tech stocks pulled back, offsetting gains in selected financial names. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all ended marginally lower, with investors trimming exposure after recent tech-led rallies.
Despite the short-term dip, Rakuten Trade struck an upbeat tone on Malaysia’s market outlook. The firm raised its year-end FBM KLCI target to 1,810 from 1,730, citing improving earnings visibility, supportive macroeconomic conditions, and sectoral strength. Notably, the KLCI recently surpassed its 2019 peak, reaching a new high of 1,721.48.
Rakuten expects 7.1% earnings growth in 2026, led by banking and plantation sectors, while forecasting the ringgit to strengthen to between RM3.80 and RM4.00 against the US dollar — a development that could further support equity valuations. Construction and infrastructure activity are also expected to remain firm, even as automotive sales moderate slightly.
Foreign selling remains a headwind, with RM22.6 billion in net outflows year-to-date, but foreign shareholding is holding steady at 19%, suggesting selling pressure has not materially destabilised the market.

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