Skip to main content

Featured Post

ECB Accelerates Risk Transfer Approvals to Boost Bank Efficiency

Streamlined SRT process aims to optimize capital management while ensuring resilience The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to  accelerate the approval process for Significant Risk Transfers (SRTs) , a move designed to improve capital efficiency for banks while maintaining financial stability. The ECB’s pilot program, scheduled to begin in early  2025 , will simplify procedures and reduce approval timelines, aligning with the growing demand for efficient capital allocation across European lenders. What’s Changing? The ECB, in collaboration with the  European Banking Federation , is introducing a pilot program to shorten the SRT approval process. The  notification period  for SRT transactions will be reduced from  three months to two weeks  before deal finalization. The  information submission  requirements will be streamlined to ease regulatory burdens for banks. These changes are expected to make  SRT transactions more attractive , all...

Global Markets Brace for Critical Week: US Inflation, Key Earnings, and Regional Insights

As the year winds down, global markets brace for a pivotal week marked by key economic data, corporate earnings, and central bank decisions. Here’s a snapshot of what’s at stake:


United States: Inflation and Corporate Earnings in Focus

  • Inflation Data (Wednesday):

    • November CPI is expected to rise slightly to 2.7% year-on-year (from 2.6% in October), while core inflation holds steady at 3.3%.
    • These figures will influence the Federal Reserve’s policy stance ahead of its December meeting, where a rate cut is widely anticipated.
  • Earnings Highlights:

    • Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL):
      • Positioned as a leader in cloud and AI, Oracle’s results will spotlight its role in digital transformation.
    • Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE):
      • Focus will be on AI integration across its platforms, a key driver of its growth narrative.
    • Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO):
      • Anticipated to deliver insights on the booming AI-driven semiconductor demand, with projected AI revenue of $12 billion in fiscal 2024.
  • Additional Economic Releases:

    • Producer Price Index (PPI)jobless claims, and the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index will round out a packed calendar, offering further clues about the US economy’s trajectory.

China: Trade and Inflation Metrics Under Scrutiny

  • Inflation (Monday):
    • Expected to remain low at 0.3% year-on-year, reflecting persistent weak domestic demand despite Beijing’s stimulus measures.
  • Trade Data (Tuesday):
    • Forecasts indicate 10% export growth and a 3.6% rebound in imports, providing a window into the health of China’s recovery and external demand.

Europe: ECB Rate Decision Amid Uncertainty

  • Rate Cut Expected (Thursday):
    • The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to reduce the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points, amidst concerns over political turmoil in France and potential US-EU trade tensions.
  • President Lagarde’s Commentary:
    • Investors will seek insights into the ECB’s strategy for addressing geopolitical challenges and Trump’s proposed tariffs.

MIST Economies: Resilience Amid Global Challenges

  • Malaysia:
    • Steady unemployment rates and industrial production growth point to resilience in exports and domestic demand.
  • Indonesia:
    • Trade data will highlight robust export growth fueled by commodities, reflecting strong external demand.
  • Singapore:
    • A decline in non-oil exports may raise concerns, but Treasury bill auctions will gauge liquidity in a high-rate environment.
  • Thailand:
    • Consumer confidence and forex reserves data will underscore the economy’s stability, with tourism and agriculture continuing as key drivers.

Key Themes for the Week

  • US Leadership:
    • Inflation data and corporate earnings will dominate, shaping investor sentiment and setting the tone for global markets heading into 2025.
  • China’s Recovery:
    • Trade and inflation figures will provide critical insights into the country’s economic health amid ongoing challenges.
  • Regional Resilience:
    • The MIST economies offer a snapshot of how emerging markets are navigating global uncertainties.
  • Central Bank Watch:
    • Decisions from the ECB, along with the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week, will shape monetary policy expectations.

Investor Takeaways

This week’s developments will likely set the stage for broader market trends as 2024 draws to a close. With US inflation data as the centerpiece, all eyes are on whether the Federal Reserve will follow through with a rate cut, offering potential relief to markets. Meanwhile, corporate updates and regional data will round out a busy week, helping investors position for the year ahead.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

特朗普考虑保罗·阿特金斯接任SEC主席,或推动加密货币监管转型

据彭博社报道,美国候任总统唐纳德·特朗普正在考虑由 保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins)接替即将卸任的证券交易委员会(SEC)主席 加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler)。阿特金斯以其支持数字资产的立场闻名,这一任命可能为SEC的加密货币监管政策带来重大转变。 事件概况 阿特金斯的背景 : 阿特金斯曾在乔治·W·布什政府期间担任SEC专员。他一直推动制定明确且平衡的加密货币法规,力求为金融科技创新提供支持。 行业经验 : 离开SEC后,阿特金斯领导了 Patomak Global Partners ,一家为主要金融公司提供咨询的机构。他主张简化监管流程以鼓励创新,同时确保市场完整性。 其他候选人 : 马克·乌耶达 (Mark Uyeda):现任SEC专员 希斯·塔伯特 (Heath Tarbert):前商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)主席 罗伯特·斯特宾斯 (Robert Stebbins):Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP合伙人 特朗普的亲加密货币立场 特朗普承诺终结根斯勒领导下的SEC“反加密货币运动”。根斯勒的任期因FTX崩盘等丑闻后的强力执法而备受争议,被批评为给行业带来了不确定性。 阿特金斯的潜在任命与特朗普的目标一致,即在保障市场完整性的同时,通过更加友好的监管政策推动数字资产的发展。 接下来会发生什么? SEC主席的任命预计将在未来几天内敲定。如果阿特金斯接任,这将表明SEC将采取更注重创新的监管方式,为加密货币行业带来更大的确定性和发展空间。

INTC Share Watch and News

Stock Info Market Monitor Company Profile Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells integrated circuits for computing and communications industries worldwide. It offers microprocessor products used in notebooks, netbooks, desktops, servers, workstations, storage products, embedded applications, communications products, consumer electronics devices, and handhelds. The company also offers system on chip products that integrate its core processing functionalities with other system components, such as graphics, audio, and video, onto a single chip. It also provides chipset products that send data between the microprocessor and input, display, and storage devices, such as keyboard, mouse, monitor, hard drive, and CD or DVD drives; motherboards that has connectors for attaching devices to the bus, and products designed for desktop, server, and workstation platforms; and wired and wireless connectivity products, including network adapters and embedded wireless cards used to translat...

Capital A 股价下跌,因外汇驱动的第三季度业绩低于预期

Capital A Bhd 在周五早盘交易中股价下跌7%,至1.01令吉,市值降至46亿令吉。这是由于其2024财年第三季度业绩未达到大多数分析师预期,尽管受益于外汇收益提振。 2024财年第三季度亮点: 核心税后及少数股东权益后亏损 (Latmi):  1.434亿令吉,令2024财年前9个月的税后亏损达到1.195亿令吉。 业绩未达  香港联昌投资银行(HLIB)预计的7.549亿令吉的税后净利(Patmi),但与市场普遍预测的4.59亿令吉税后净利一致。 剔除例外项目 (EIs):  共计12亿令吉,主要由于15亿令吉的外汇收益,但被递延税务损失部分抵销。 环比表现: 核心Latmi从上一季度的5,760万令吉恶化至1.434亿令吉,主要受以下因素影响: 季节性收益率疲弱; 成本增加; ADE MRO(维修、保养及翻修)业务因6个新机库的启动成本造成亏损。 未来展望: 预计2024财年第四季度表现将有所改善,得益于: 更高的机队容量; 季节性需求和收益率的改善; 喷气燃料价格下降及美元贬值; 来自新ADE机库的运营贡献。 待决事项: 航空业务出售:  正等待法院批准出售给亚航长途(AirAsia X Bhd, KL:AAX),预计在2025财年第一季度完成。 PN17状态:  出售后仍维持,预计在2025财年上半年完成相关解决方案。 联昌投资银行(HLIB)建议: 维持“买入”评级,目标价为1.68令吉,估值基于航空业务为68亿令吉,非航空业务为21.5亿令吉。 尽管短期面临挑战,Capital A 的长期增长前景依然受到更强的季节性表现和战略举措的支持。