Iran has warned global markets to prepare for oil at US$200 per barrel , escalating rhetoric as attacks intensify and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively frozen. While oil prices have retreated from recent highs near US$120, Tehran’s message underscores the growing risk of a prolonged energy shock. Key Takeaways Iran warns oil could surge to US$200 per barrel Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, disrupting 20% of global oil flows 14 merchant ships reportedly struck since conflict began IEA expected to propose record 400 million-barrel reserve release Markets currently betting conflict may be contained Oil Market on Edge Iran’s military command said oil prices depend on regional security — warning the world to prepare for US$200 crude if instability persists. The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow chokepoint along Iran’s coast, normally handles: About 20% of global oil shipments A significant share of global LNG trade So far: At least 14 ships have reportedly been struck...
Just yesterday, we were talking about a good day for FBM KLCI, where the index rose 3.61 points to close at 1842.17.
Well, some analyst will look at the drop for today to 1829.91 (a drop of 12 pts) is a technical correction after consecutive gains for the past 3 days.
But with the anticipation that Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) member nations would not cut output to support prices, it's best that investors be careful in their trade in FBM KLCI. There are some who expect the rebound in oil price in December because of the winter in the northern hemisphere.
The decline today was mainly due to the blue chips counter like Tenaga, Telekom etc.
Regionally, the markets were mixed with Japan's Nikkei and and Hong Kong's Hang Seng decline while South Korea's Rospi rose for about 0.06%.
Here are some of the concerns that investors should take note of:
1) How the oil prices will move in the coming months with the OPEC not cutting output to support prices??
2) More stimulus in China and Europe? And how this will affect the market moving forward.
Market dropped again today. How far do you think it will drop to?
ReplyDeleteHi Jayce, my take on this is that the drop will probably continue for a while for O&G but with some positive sentiments in the United States and more stimulus plan from countries like China, Japan, Europe, things should improve. Of course, it's easy to fall into the trap of going in too early as there's a feeling that FBM KLCI is trading at a slighly higher price than our regional peers. But as mentioned in my most recent post on Profitability Ratios, I believe one should focus at the fundamentals of the stock, the business model of the company. Anyway good luck!
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