The Bank of Russia unexpectedly maintained its key interest rate at a record-high 21% , defying analysts’ expectations of another significant hike as inflation remains stubbornly elevated. The decision marks a shift toward a more measured approach in balancing economic growth and price stability. Key Details Inflation Concerns: Annual inflation climbed to 8.9% in November, well above the central bank’s 4% target , with inflation expectations reaching 13.9% in December. Policy Rationale: The central bank cited the significant tightening of monetary conditions after October’s 200-basis point hike as sufficient to resume disinflationary processes. Governor Elvira Nabiullina emphasized avoiding both economic overheating and severe slowdowns. Economic Overheating: Elevated government spending on the war in Ukraine and social programs, coupled with labor shortages and rising wages, have fueled strong domestic demand, exacerbating price pressures...
While the bearish market continue in the market as oil price plunge continue, some analysts are starting to believe the bottom is near.
It is hard to predict where the bottom is but some forecasters believe the long tumble of crude oil is about to come to an end.
The average forecast in the latest survey believe that the crude oil to trade at US$64 a barrel at the end of December 2014.
With the crude oil (brent) at US$61.85 per barrel now, some analyst believe the sharp drop is coming to an end.
It is difficult to do a forecast but it is likely for us to see the oil price to trend at this level for the coming weeks.
What say you? Did the analysts get it right this time?
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