Oil breaks US$100, Wall Street retreats and bond yields rise, inflation is becoming the market’s biggest risk again Global markets are starting Thursday in a more defensive position. Brent crude has broken above US$100 a barrel , U.S. Treasury yields are pushing higher, and Wall Street fell for a third straight session as investors reassess whether central banks may need to keep tightening rather than easing. For Malaysian investors, the key chain today is increasingly clear: Oil → inflation → interest rates → bond yields → USD/MYR → Bursa valuations. 30-second market snapshot Market / Asset Latest 🇺🇸 S&P 500 7,636.36, -0.48% 🇺🇸 Dow Jones 52,380.66, -0.77% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq 26,253.34, -0.64% 🇲🇾 FBM KLCI 1,714.34, virtually flat 💵 USD/MYR ~4.06 🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y Treasury ~4.84% 🇺🇸 U.S. 2Y Treasury ~4.42% 🥇 Gold ~US$4,396/oz 🛢️ Brent crude US$101.21/bbl 🛢️ WTI crude US$96.05/bbl ₿ Bitcoin ~US$79,300 🇯🇵 Nikkei ~64,760, -0.6% this morning Brent jumped about 3.4% Wednesda...
Market Daily Report: https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/fbm-klci-down-markets-trim-us-rate-cut-forecast
KUALA LUMPUR (July 8): The FBM KLCI closed 4.89 points or 0.29% lower today at 1,677.64, after news on strong US jobs data trimmed market expectation on the pace of US interest rate cuts. Such sentiment hit markets across Asia.
US rate cuts are seen boding well for Asian markets, in anticipation fund managers will shift their money into higher-yielding Asian assets like currencies, stocks and bonds. But anticipation of a smaller-than-expected US rate cut tempers such positive sentiment.
Malacca Securities Sdn Bhd senior analyst Kenneth Leong told theedgemarkets.com that the KLCI dropped today, in tandem with the fall across Asian stock markets.
Leong noted weaker regional sentiment weighed on the KLCI down today, amid "factors, including the Japan-South Korea trade spat and Hong Kong protest".
The KLCI cut losses at 1,677.64 at the 5pm market close, after falling to its intraday low at 1,672.88.
Globally, Japan's Nikkei 225 closed down 0.98%, while South Korea's Kospi sank 2.2%. In China, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite declined 2.58%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dipped 1.54%.
Reuters reported Asian shares were a sea of red on Monday, after strong US job gains tempered expectations that the Federal Reserve will deliver a large rate cut, while the Turkish lira hovered near two-week lows, on worries about central bank independence. It was reported share sentiment was also dampened by US investment bank Morgan Stanley's decision to reduce its exposure to global equities, due to misgivings about the ability of policy easings to offset weaker economic data.
According to Reuters, since the start of the year, global equities have generally been bolstered by expectations that central banks will keep interest rates at or near record lows to boost economic growth. It was reported that those expectations were tempered by the US labour report on Friday that showed non-farm payrolls jumped 224,000 in June, beating forecasts for 160,000, in a sign that the world's largest economy still had fire.
"Given the strength shown in that data, investors now expect U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to go slow on rate cuts this year. Bets for aggressive Fed easings are already off, with the market now pricing a 27 basis points easing this month, from 33 basis points prior to payrolls," Reuters reported.
Across Bursa Malaysia today, top gainer was KLCI component Tenaga Nasional Bhd, while the most active stock was Ekovest Bhd, which registered a volume of some 163 million shares.
Ekovest closed down 6.5 sen or 7.47% at 80.5 sen today. Tenaga ended up 22 sen or 1.62% at RM13.82.
Source: The Edge
Comments
Post a Comment