Key Takeaway: Vietnam’s President Luong Cuong cautions that protectionism and trade wars could lead to recession and poverty, as Vietnam remains vulnerable to potential US tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump.
Speaking at the APEC CEO Summit in Peru, Vietnam President Luong Cuong criticized isolationist trade policies, emphasizing the need for international cooperation and adherence to WTO standards. He warned that imposing arbitrary tariffs without considering unique national circumstances could stifle innovation, reduce job opportunities, and hinder global economic growth.
Impact on Vietnam’s Economy:
- Exports account for 85% of Vietnam’s GDP, with the US as its largest trading partner. Vietnam’s $100 billion trade surplus with the US last year makes it a potential target for Trump's tariff threats.
- Analysts predict weaker growth prospects for Southeast Asia in 2025, with Vietnam particularly vulnerable to stalling foreign direct investment due to its reliance on trade.
Key Concerns for Vietnam:
- Achieving recognition as a market economy by the US.
- Progressing on the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership announced during President Joe Biden's visit.
President Cuong highlighted that Vietnam’s economic success depends on collaboration and balanced trade policies, urging global leaders to avoid policies that exacerbate economic divides.
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