Key Takeaway: China’s economy showed mixed signals in October, with slowing factory output and a struggling property sector, while retail sales improved. The data underscores calls for additional stimulus amid potential tariff hikes from Trump’s incoming administration.
China’s economy revealed signs of underlying weakness in October, with factory output growing at a slower pace of 5.3% year-on-year, missing the expected 5.6%. In contrast, retail sales rose 4.8%, their fastest rate since February, boosted by holiday spending and Singles' Day sales, which grew 26.6% to 1.44 trillion yuan.
The property sector remains a concern, with property investment down 10.3% over the first ten months, though some improvements in sales suggest that recent policy support may be helping. Despite various measures, including a 10 trillion yuan package to address local government debt and tax incentives for property transactions, analysts caution that stimulus impacts may be modest and uneven across sectors.
The return of Donald Trump to the White House adds another layer of uncertainty, as potential tariff increases on Chinese goods could further strain China’s economic recovery and weigh on future growth targets.
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