Key Takeaway: Asian currencies and stocks tumbled as the US dollar hit a one-year high on trade policy concerns following Donald Trump's election victory.
Asian markets saw significant declines, with currencies like the ringgit, Thai baht, and Indonesian rupiah hitting multi-month lows. The ringgit recorded its fourth consecutive loss, while Malaysia’s and Thailand’s trade-dependent economies faced heightened risks from potential tariff hikes on exports to the US.
The Philippine stock index fell 2.3%, marking its seventh straight loss, with Jakarta’s index down over 1%. DBS analysts noted that Indonesia and India, with economies more reliant on domestic demand, showed relatively more resilience against tariff fears.
Key Market Reactions:
- Outflows increased in Malaysia and Thailand, with their currencies losing approximately 4% since the US election.
- Indonesia’s central bank pledged to monitor and intervene to stabilize the rupiah, which remains less impacted than other regional currencies.
In the near term, markets remain cautious, awaiting further Trump policy and cabinet announcements. Maybank analysts observed that the appetite for risk has become more measured, and support for the rupiah is expected at 15,882 per dollar.
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