Key Takeaways for Investors:
Tariff Impact Hits Debt Markets: Auto bonds slumped on Thursday after President Trump imposed 25% tariffs on imported vehicles, set to start April 3. Yields widened as investor concerns over higher vehicle costs and potential profit erosion intensified.
VW & BMW Bonds Under Pressure:
Volkswagen’s 5.35% 2030 bonds, issued just last week, saw their spreads widen by 24 basis points to 135 bps.
BMW’s 5.4% 2035 bonds also weakened, with spreads rising 6 basis points to 122 bps.
Bonds from Honda and GM showed similar lagging performance.
Auto Debt Trails Broader Market:
Spreads on high-grade auto bonds have widened 26 bps YTD, more than double the 10 bps widening in the overall high-grade corporate bond market.
Automakers like Volkswagen, Toyota, Mercedes-Benz, and Hyundai are most exposed to rising funding costs.
Primary Market Cooling Off: French parts supplier Forvia SE had to raise yields to attract buyers in its first US-dollar junk bond sale. New bond issues from auto firms are failing to gain traction post-launch, a stark contrast to previous years where pricing often tightened after issuance.
What This Means for Investors:
The tariff shock is amplifying credit risk in the auto sector.
Caution is warranted for fixed-income investors exposed to carmakers, especially those with international production footprints.
Watch for further spread widening and potential downgrades if vehicle sales weaken significantly.
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