Tesla (TSLA) +2% Tesla shares bounced after a rough Monday, despite being down 36% in Q1 — the worst Q1 in company history. Investors are now eyeing its Q1 delivery report due Wednesday, with Street estimates hovering around 380,000 units . Analysts have been revising expectations lower amid backlash over Elon Musk’s role in Trump’s administration. Chinese EV Makers Up XPeng (XPEV) +1.6% : Delivered 33,205 vehicles in March — its fifth straight 30k+ month. NIO (NIO) +1.6% and Li Auto (LI) +1.4% also gained on strong March deliveries. Nvidia (NVDA) -0.6% Still under pressure after a 19.3% Q1 drop , its worst since 2022. Investor worries over AI spending, tech valuation, and trade tensions are weighing heavily. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) -5% Fell after a Texas judge dismissed J&J’s third bankruptcy attempt to settle talc-related lawsuits via Chapter 11. PVH Corp (PVH) +18.9% Shares surged after Q4 earnings beat expectations ...
Key Takeaways for Investors:
- Q4 Beat Expectations, But That’s Not the FocusLululemon posted strong Q4 earnings of $6.14 per share, beating estimates of $5.85. Revenue came in at $3.6 billion, up 13% and in line with forecasts. But the stock dropped 5.9% in after-hours trading.
- FY25 Guidance Disappoints Wall StreetManagement expects FY25 revenue of $11.15–$11.3 billion, which implies growth of just 5%–7%, below the 7% consensus. EPS guidance of $14.95–$15.15 also missed expectations ($15.37).
- Soft Q1 Outlook Fuels ConcernFor Q1, Lululemon sees revenue of $2.335–$2.355 billion and EPS of $2.53–$2.58 — both short of analyst forecasts. This adds to investor anxiety about slowing consumer demand and rising competition.
- Traffic and Competition Trends Add PressureIn-store traffic dipped in February, while rivals like Alo Yoga saw double-digit growth. Analysts point to rising competition from brands like Vuori — and Nike's Skims partnership — as growing threats to Lululemon’s market share.
- Valuation Reset Creates Opportunity?The stock is down 12% year-to-date and now trades at 21.6x forward earnings, well below its 5-year average of 36.7x. If spring sales rebound, some analysts believe there’s room for upside.
Investor Insight:
While Lululemon is still a premium brand with strong margins, its soft guidance reflects broader retail headwinds. Management’s cautious tone may be “prudently conservative,” but with traffic trends weakening and competition intensifying, investors will want to see signs of a strong spring rebound before jumping back in.
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