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High Drama and Big Impact: Trump’s Bold Tariff Plans and What to Expect

Expect significant new tariffs on Chinese imports and moderate levies on goods from other nations , as President-elect Donald Trump rolls out his protectionist agenda. However, with his preference for chaotic policymaking and sudden shifts , there’s uncertainty on how soon these import taxes will actually hit. Dubbed “ Tariff Man ,” Trump aims to use tariffs both strategically and tactically . He’s mentioned taxing all Chinese goods up to 60% and potentially setting 10%-20% tariffs on imports globally , but details on these plans remain vague . Key players within Trump’s team are divided: Robert Lighthizer , a staunch tariff advocate, sees permanent duties as crucial to balance US trade , while others, like billionaires John Paulson and Scott Bessent , view tariffs as temporary leverage. Trump’s previous administration had mixed feelings, especially on national security-related trade limits , which he sometimes dismissed, favoring an “open for business” approach. High-profile busin

US Fiscal Profile Unlikely to Change Significantly After Elections

Fitch Ratings has affirmed the United States' credit rating at "AA+" and stated that the country's fiscal profile is likely to remain largely unchanged regardless of the outcome of the upcoming presidential election. The agency cited structural strengths such as high per capita income and financial flexibility.

Key Takeaways:

  1. Limited Impact from Election Results: Fitch believes that the underlying US fiscal position will remain stable despite different economic objectives, tax policies, and spending priorities of Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump. It expects most of the tax cuts from 2017 to be extended under either administration, which would affect revenues and contribute to wider budget deficits.

  2. High Deficits and Debt Burden: The US government has not taken significant steps to address large fiscal deficits, a growing debt burden, and increasing expenditures linked to an aging population. These factors place the US below the median of equally rated sovereigns. Despite these concerns, Fitch maintained the US rating due to its economic strength and the advantage of issuing the world's leading reserve currency.

  3. Concerns Over Governance Standards: Fitch noted that US standards of governance are below those of its 'AA' rated peers. This follows the agency's downgrade of the US credit rating last year after political disagreements over the debt ceiling, which ended with an agreement to lift the government's $31.4 trillion borrowing limit.

Overall, Fitch's assessment suggests that while the upcoming election may shape certain policies, the fundamental fiscal challenges facing the US are likely to persist.

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