Expect significant new tariffs on Chinese imports and moderate levies on goods from other nations , as President-elect Donald Trump rolls out his protectionist agenda. However, with his preference for chaotic policymaking and sudden shifts , there’s uncertainty on how soon these import taxes will actually hit. Dubbed “ Tariff Man ,” Trump aims to use tariffs both strategically and tactically . He’s mentioned taxing all Chinese goods up to 60% and potentially setting 10%-20% tariffs on imports globally , but details on these plans remain vague . Key players within Trump’s team are divided: Robert Lighthizer , a staunch tariff advocate, sees permanent duties as crucial to balance US trade , while others, like billionaires John Paulson and Scott Bessent , view tariffs as temporary leverage. Trump’s previous administration had mixed feelings, especially on national security-related trade limits , which he sometimes dismissed, favoring an “open for business” approach. High-profile busin
The UK’s banking sector is preparing for a significant uptick in residential development financing, driven by the new Labour government’s ambitious plans to tackle the nation’s housing shortage. Following Labour's landslide victory in July, the government has made homebuilding a central part of its economic growth strategy, prompting developers to boost the supply of homes and increasing demand for lending in this sector.
Key Takeaways:
Increased Certainty and Planning Reforms: The Labour government’s long-term stability, with at least five years in power, has provided much-needed certainty for developers and lenders alike. The party’s commitment to reforming the planning system, including making it easier to build on the green belt and reinstating mandatory local housing targets, has been welcomed by housebuilders. This is expected to unlock more development opportunities, particularly with the recruitment of 300 new planning officers aimed at expediting the approval process.
Lenders Poised to Capitalize on Demand: Several prominent residential development finance lenders anticipate a surge in borrowing as Labour's planning policies take effect. OakNorth Bank Plc, for instance, has already completed significant transactions in the residential sector since Labour's election win, including a £50 million loan for a mixed-use scheme in London. With institutional investors showing strong interest in build-to-rent and student housing, lenders are increasingly confident in the development financing market, viewing residential projects as safer, less cyclical investments.
Challenges and Gradual Growth: Despite the optimistic outlook, some industry experts caution that the recovery in development financing may be slow and steady rather than immediate. Factors such as high interest rates, build-cost inflation, and the time required to implement Labour’s proposed legislation could temper the pace of growth. Nonetheless, the sector is expected to see incremental improvements as reforms take hold, with banks like Shawbrook Bank Ltd adjusting their focus to align with the anticipated increase in demand.
In summary, while the Labour government’s housebuilding agenda offers promising opportunities for the UK’s lending market, the road to a full recovery in development financing is likely to be gradual, shaped by ongoing economic conditions and the implementation of key policy reforms.
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