The U.S. dollar fell sharply Thursday as traders rushed into traditional safe havens like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc, reacting to President Trump’s sweeping new tariff package that intensified fears of a global economic slowdown.
Key Market Reactions
Currency | Move Against USD |
---|---|
Japanese Yen (JPY) | +0.95% (¥147.99) |
Swiss Franc (CHF) | +0.60% (CHF 0.8787) |
Euro (EUR) | +0.43% (US$1.0875) |
British Pound (GBP) | +0.28% (US$1.3047) |
Chinese Yuan (CNH) | Hit 1-month low offshore |
Australian Dollar | -0.5% (US$0.6268) |
NZ Dollar | -0.26% (US$0.5730) |
Mexican Peso | -0.25% (20.2520 per USD) |
What Triggered the Move?
President Trump announced a 10% universal tariff and higher duties on ~60 countries.
Tariffs target major trading partners including China (54%), Vietnam, Japan, and the EU.
Investors fear an escalating global trade war, causing a flight to safety.
“The markets are in risk-off mode and pricing in weaker global economic growth.”— Kyle Rodda, Capital.com
Safe Havens Back in Focus
Yen and Swiss franc surged as classic safe-haven plays.
Short-duration Treasuries also favored, with interest rate futures now pricing in at least 3 Fed cuts in 2025 — and possibly a fourth.
“Treasuries and the yen are the top-tier safe-haven trades in this environment.”— John Hardy, Saxo Bank
Euro Holds Up Despite EU Tariffs
The euro strengthened as Europe’s measured response (rather than retaliation) reassured investors.
Analysts suggest markets view the EU’s calm policy stance as stabilizing.
“The market has liked that approach of calmness and measuredness from Europe.”— Rodrigo Catril, NAB
Takeaway
The dollar’s pullback reflects a shift in global sentiment: risk-off mode is back, safe-haven flows are accelerating, and Fed rate cut expectations are rising. With U.S. tariffs taking effect on April 9, FX volatility is likely to persist as markets assess retaliation risk and macro fallout.
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