US Bond Yields and Dollar Rise as Investors Weigh Trump’s Inflationary Policies; Bitcoin Hits $90,000
Key Takeaway: Longer-term US bond yields rose alongside the dollar, with investors bracing for inflationary pressures from Trump’s policy agenda, while Bitcoin soared above $90,000 amid optimism for the cryptocurrency market.
Long-term US bond yields and the dollar climbed on Thursday as investors bet that Trump’s plans for tax cuts and tariffs could fuel inflation, potentially keeping interest rates elevated for longer. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.483%, its highest since July, while the 30-year yield hovered near a five-month peak. Meanwhile, Bitcoin surged to $90,654, boosted by views that Trump’s administration could favor cryptocurrencies.
Despite a recent US inflation report aligning with expectations, which strengthened bets on a December Fed rate cut, the market outlook for 2025 is clouded by Trump's election, with concerns that increased US deficits and sticky inflation could curb future rate cuts. The dollar index reached a one-year high of 106.77, with the greenback pushing the euro to a one-year low and surpassing ¥156 against the yen.
Stock Market Reactions:
- European Shares: The Euro STOXX 50 rose 0.6%, buoyed by strong earnings reports from companies like Deutsche Telekom.
- Asian Shares: Asia saw mixed performance, with China’s CSI300 blue-chip index falling 1.7% due to lackluster response to Beijing’s economic support measures. Japan’s Nikkei dropped 0.5%.
Overall, the market is balancing hopes for pro-business policies with caution over Trump’s more hawkish stance on China and inflation-driven uncertainty for the Fed's future monetary policy.
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