China’s central bank moved to shore up the yuan for the second consecutive day by setting a stronger-than-expected reference rate of 7.1966 per dollar, beating analyst estimates by 359 pips. This follows an even wider gap of 445 pips on Wednesday, the largest since August.
The yuan is under pressure as the US dollar reaches a two-year high after Donald Trump’s election victory, fueled by concerns that his administration might impose 60% tariffs on Chinese goods, which would impact Sino-US trade significantly.
Previously, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) had allowed the yuan to weaken alongside other currencies, but more than half of Bloomberg’s survey respondents suggested that Beijing might further devalue the yuan to boost Chinese export competitiveness amidst potential trade barriers.
The PBOC’s daily yuan fixing—a tool that controls the onshore yuan’s movement within a 2% range—remains a key measure for managing currency stability. According to Kiyong Seong, Asia macro strategist at Societe Generale, it’s likely that the PBOC is focusing on controlling the pace of devaluation rather than defending a specific level.
The offshore yuan briefly gained 0.1% after the fixing but remained steady around 7.2485 per dollar, marking a 1.8% decline for the month so far.
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