Oil prices climbed as traders evaluated how Donald Trump’s presidency might impact the crude market. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) increased 0.9%, settling above $72 per barrel, while Brent crude approached $76, bolstered by a weaker dollar and rising equities.
Analysts hold differing views: Citigroup suggests a Trump administration could be bearish for crude due to possible increased US production and tariffs impacting China’s economy. Conversely, Standard Chartered predicts that oil companies may resist Trump’s push for more drilling.
Geopolitics remains a key factor. Many anticipate stricter sanctions on Iran and potential Middle East tensions. Additionally, Russia’s role in oil markets could shift, with Vladimir Putin congratulating Trump and showing interest in Trump’s proposals on Ukraine.
“There are several opposing forces,” said Warren Patterson from ING Groep NV. Sanctions on Iran and potential GDP growth in the US support bullish sentiment, while increased oil leasing and a strong dollar could be bearish.
The market remains uncertain, with Vitol Group warning of possible oversupply in 2025 but emphasizing current demand, as evidenced by a bullish backwardation structure in crude futures.
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