As Donald Trump returns to the White House, Silicon Valley prepares for a drastically altered relationship with the US government, with AI regulations, antitrust enforcement, and semiconductor policies taking center stage.
On artificial intelligence (AI), Trump has vowed to dismantle an executive order from President Biden that sets safety standards and privacy guidelines for AI development. He has criticized the policy as "dangerous" and restrictive, proposing a new approach rooted in "AI development rooted in free speech." This shift could alter the AI landscape, emphasizing rapid innovation over security, with expanded energy capacity potentially easing land and electricity permitting hurdles.
The antitrust landscape is also likely to shift, with a friendlier stance toward mergers and acquisitions. Although Trump is expected to maintain lawsuits targeting Big Tech, changes in leadership at the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and Justice Department might foster an environment more conducive to large business tie-ups, favoring industry giants and enabling potential settlements with companies like Amazon.
In a surprising reversal, Trump now opposes a ban on TikTok, recognizing it as a competitor to Meta, the parent company of Facebook. This marks a stark contrast from his initial push to ban the app in his first term.
Semiconductor policy introduces further uncertainty, with Trump expressing skepticism toward the 2022 Chips and Science Act, which provided billions for domestic chip manufacturing. Instead, he favors tariffs on foreign chipmakers as a more effective measure, which could reshape the industry and create potential shifts in US-China trade relations.
Perhaps the largest question for tech and the global economy lies in Trump’s stance on Taiwan. As the world’s semiconductor hub, Taiwan is critical to the tech sector, producing over 90% of advanced chips. Trump’s proposed tariffs and remarks on Taiwan's role in the US semiconductor industry underscore the high stakes, with analysts projecting a US$10 trillion hit to the global economy in the event of a conflict involving Taiwan.
As Trump’s administration takes shape, Silicon Valley and the broader tech industry face a future marked by policy shifts and heightened uncertainty.
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