Japan’s wholesale inflation surged to 4.0% in February, driven by rising raw material costs, keeping market expectations alive for a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
Key Highlights:
Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI): The rise in the CGPI, which tracks the price companies charge each other for goods and services, matched market forecasts. Although it was a slowdown from January’s 4.2% year-on-year increase, it remains elevated.
Yen-based Import Prices: The yen-based import prices dropped by 0.7% in February compared to the previous year, reversing the 2.3% increase in January.
Bank of Japan’s Position:
Monetary Policy: Following the end of a decade-long monetary stimulus in 2024, the BOJ raised short-term interest rates in January to 0.5% from 0.25%, signaling its confidence that Japan is on track to sustainably reach its 2% inflation target.
Future Rate Hikes: Given the sustained rise in consumer inflation and Japan's moderate economic recovery, the BOJ has hinted that further rate hikes could be on the horizon, depending on economic conditions.
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