Asian stocks followed Wall Street’s lead on Tuesday, falling sharply as fears over a potential U.S. recession deepened, triggered by concerns about a wide-ranging trade war and U.S. economic slowdown. Investors sought safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, while global stock markets continued their slide.
Key Market Moves:
U.S. Stock Market Woes: The S&P 500 dropped 2.7%, and the Nasdaq tumbled 4.0%—its worst one-day percentage loss since September 2022. Futures for both indices slid by 1% in Asian trading hours on Tuesday.
Asia-Pacific Stocks in the Red: Japan’s Nikkei and Taiwan's stocks plunged by about 3%, reaching their lowest levels since September. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index outside Japan dropped by more than 1%. Even Chinese stocks, which had performed well earlier this year, were not immune, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.5%.
European Markets Follow Suit: European futures pointed to a lower open, with DAX futures down 0.8%and Eurostoxx futures falling 0.9%, suggesting the sell-off could extend further.
Recession Fears Sparked by Trump’s Comments:
Trump's Uncertainty: U.S. President Donald Trump fueled market concerns during a Fox News interview, where he spoke about a "period of transition" and refrained from predicting whether his trade tariffs would result in a recession. These comments added to market fears, causing stocks to slide and the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields to fall.
Rising Tariff Worries: In addition to the ongoing trade war with countries like China and Mexico, Trump warned about reciprocal tariffs on Canadian goods like dairy and lumber, stoking further concerns.
Market Reactions:
Bond Yields: The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell 5 basis points on Tuesday, after dropping 10 basis points in the previous session, marking the largest drop in nearly a month. The 2-year note yield, which tracks interest rate expectations, also dropped to a five-month low.
Fed Easing Expectations: Traders now expect the Federal Reserve to ease by 88 basis points this year, up from 75 basis points just the day before, indicating expectations for a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy.
Safe-Haven Demand: As concerns grew, the Japanese yen rose by 0.3% against the dollar, hitting a five-month high. The Swiss franc also strengthened, hovering near its three-month high.
Commodities and Oil Prices Fall:
- Oil Prices Drop: Oil prices continued their downward slide, with Brent crude falling 0.65% to $68.83 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate crude losing 0.82% to $65.49. Concerns over a slowing global economy and increased supply from OPEC+ have weighed on energy demand.
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