Retain outperform with target price (TP) of RM1.85
- MRCB reported its 3Q16 results on 30 November 2016.
- MRCB's cumulative 9M16 rep. PAT registered at RM79mn (-74% y/y); this is 67% of Macquarie's FY16E estimates and 72% of consensus FY16E forecasts. On the quarterly results, 3Q16 rep. PAT jumped 564% y/y to RM29mn due to the rise in revenue by 47% y/y to RM551mn. Earnings were weaker in 9M16 due to the RM279mn gain recorded from MRCB's asset disposal program in 9M15.
- Property division to lift earnings in 4Q16. MRCB's shareholders approved the resolution to dispose the Menara Shell at RM640mn, during an extraordinary general meeting (EGM), which took place today. MRCB expects the disposal to bring RM89mn gain for MRCB in FY16E. Menara Shell will be sold to MRCB’s real estate investment trust (REIT) arm – MRCB-Quill REIT, paid in cash and REIT units. Recall that MRCB has also agreed to sell its land plot in the KLCC vicinity called The Grid to MRT Corp in a deal worth RM180mn. The land disposal is estimated to bring after-tax gain of RM38.1mn to MRCB. These disposals should lift MRCB’s consolidated earnings in 4Q16.
- Property division exceeded MRCB’s FY16E sales target. In light of the proposed sale of Menara Shell, MRCB’s YTD property sales registered at RM1.17bn, exceeding its RM1bn FY16E sales target. Its unbilled sales stood at RM1.4bn and MRCB is planning to launch two more property projects in December 2016 – Kalista in Bukit Rahman Putra and Sentral Suites, carrying a combined GDV of RM1.35bn. Based on the soft launches of these projects, Kalista and Sentral Suites have had 50% and 45% bookings, respectively.
- Construction division showed signs of life with margin expansion. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) margin for the construction division expanded to 4.8% in 3Q16 vs. 1.8% in 2Q16 as MRCB begins to recognize the value of its orderbook, which currently stands at RM5.2bn. Year—to-date (YTD) earnings for this division were weaker due to the loss recognition from the LRT2 project. Going forward MQ Research expect margins to expand further as MRCB moves on from the loss-making legacy projects inherited from the previous management.
Earnings and target price revision
- No change.
- 12-month price target: RM1.85 based on a Sum of Parts methodology.
- Catalyst: new order wins for MRCB’s construction and engineering division