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Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Ringgit's weakness persists

My personal take on the Ringgit's weakness that have continued

The Malaysian Ringgit's weakness persists, and have reached close to level not seen since the Asian Financial crisis in 1997. 

And if you are not concern, then this chart should show you otherwise. 

Malaysian Ringgit was the second worst currency performing in Asia, behind the Japanese yen, ever since Donald Trump's surprise victory in the presidential election in the United States.

Here are some of the things that have been said about the Ringgit.

1) The Ringgit has suffered more in general because of the higher percentage of foreign holding in the bond market.

2) Uncertainties over Trump's policy once he takes over has caused concern over emerging market and Ringgit.

3) Fundamentals have not change. The Ringgit is undervalued, but uncertainties are making it less attractive. 

Honestly, it's difficult to tell if it's really just Trump that had caused the weakness in Ringgit. Remember that the oil price has slowly moved up to its current 40 to 50 USD per barrel from the 20 to 30ish range in February this year but the Malaysian Ringgit has not seen the same magnitude in movement.

So far, negative headlines have surrounded Ringgit and if you have traveled to countries like Indonesia, like myself, you'll feel depressed because the Indonesian Rupiah seems to be gaining more value than the Ringgit. (Sad but true)

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